Ajax vs FC Eindhoven analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
87.6%
Win probability
3.28
Expected goals
10-0
0.1%
+10
0.1%
9-0
0.2%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.3%
8-0
0.7%
9-1
0.1%
10-2
<0%
+8
0.8%
7-0
1.7%
8-1
0.4%
9-2
<0%
+7
2.1%
6-0
3.6%
7-1
1%
8-2
0.1%
+6
4.7%
5-0
6.5%
6-1
2.1%
7-2
0.3%
8-3
<0%
+5
9%
4-0
10%
5-1
3.9%
6-2
0.6%
7-3
0.1%
+4
14.6%
3-0
12.2%
4-1
6%
5-2
1.2%
6-3
0.1%
+3
19.4%
2-0
11.1%
3-1
7.3%
4-2
1.8%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
20.5%
1-0
6.8%
2-1
6.7%
3-2
2.2%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
16%
8.6%
Draw
0-0
2.1%
1-1
4.1%
2-2
2%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
0.1%
0
8.6%
3.7%
Win probability
0.6
Expected goals
0-1
1.2%
1-2
1.2%
2-3
0.4%
3-4
0.1%
-1
2.9%
0-2
0.4%
1-3
0.2%
2-4
0.1%
-2
0.7%
0-3
0.1%
1-4
0%
-3
0.1%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+11%
-9%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Ajax
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Feb. 1957 |
GRO
1 - 1
AJA
41%
22%
37%
|
83 | 77 | 6 | 0 |
| 27 Jan. 1957 |
AJA
2 - 1
SPA
69%
16%
14%
|
82 | 77 | 5 | +1 |
| 20 Jan. 1957 |
NAC
1 - 1
AJA
44%
22%
35%
|
82 | 78 | 4 | 0 |
| 13 Jan. 1957 |
TSV
1 - 4
AJA
42%
22%
36%
|
82 | 77 | 5 | 0 |
| 06 Jan. 1957 |
AJA
2 - 3
DWS
71%
16%
13%
|
82 | 75 | 7 | 0 |
Matches
FC Eindhoven
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Feb. 1957 |
EIN
0 - 1
VVD
18%
19%
63%
|
57 | 79 | 22 | 0 |
| 27 Jan. 1957 |
VVV
2 - 1
EIN
83%
11%
6%
|
58 | 76 | 18 | -1 |
| 20 Jan. 1957 |
EIN
1 - 5
FOR
20%
21%
59%
|
58 | 80 | 22 | 0 |
| 13 Jan. 1957 |
EIN
0 - 2
PSV
19%
19%
62%
|
58 | 81 | 23 | 0 |
| 06 Jan. 1957 |
ENS
6 - 1
EIN
85%
10%
5%
|
59 | 78 | 19 | -1 |