Ajax vs Excelsior analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
86.1%
Win probability
2.82
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.4%
9-1
0.1%
+8
0.4%
7-0
1.1%
8-1
0.2%
9-2
<0%
+7
1.3%
6-0
2.7%
7-1
0.5%
8-2
<0%
+6
3.2%
5-0
5.7%
6-1
1.2%
7-2
0.1%
+5
7%
4-0
10.1%
5-1
2.5%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
12.9%
3-0
14.4%
4-1
4.4%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
19.4%
2-0
15.3%
3-1
6.3%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
22.7%
1-0
10.9%
2-1
6.7%
3-2
1.4%
4-3
0.1%
+1
19.1%
10.3%
Draw
0-0
3.9%
1-1
4.7%
2-2
1.5%
3-3
0.2%
4-4
<0%
0
10.3%
3.6%
Win probability
0.44
Expected goals
0-1
1.7%
1-2
1%
2-3
0.2%
3-4
0%
-1
3%
0-2
0.4%
1-3
0.2%
2-4
0%
-2
0.5%
0-3
0.1%
1-4
0%
-3
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+6%
+7%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Ajax
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Apr. 2019 |
AJA
1 - 1
JUV
33%
26%
41%
|
88 | 93 | 5 | 0 |
| 06 Apr. 2019 |
WIL
1 - 4
AJA
11%
17%
72%
|
88 | 75 | 13 | 0 |
| 03 Apr. 2019 |
FCE
2 - 5
AJA
5%
13%
83%
|
88 | 61 | 27 | 0 |
| 31 Mar. 2019 |
AJA
3 - 1
PSV
38%
23%
39%
|
88 | 89 | 1 | 0 |
| 17 Mar. 2019 |
AZA
1 - 0
AJA
24%
22%
54%
|
89 | 84 | 5 | -1 |
Matches
Excelsior
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Apr. 2019 |
GRO
1 - 0
EXC
60%
23%
18%
|
65 | 75 | 10 | 0 |
| 03 Apr. 2019 |
EXC
1 - 2
NAC
50%
24%
26%
|
66 | 63 | 3 | -1 |
| 30 Mar. 2019 |
SCH
1 - 0
EXC
63%
21%
17%
|
67 | 76 | 9 | -1 |
| 17 Mar. 2019 |
EXC
0 - 2
ZWO
37%
26%
38%
|
66 | 71 | 5 | +1 |
| 09 Mar. 2019 |
VVV
1 - 0
EXC
53%
24%
24%
|
67 | 72 | 5 | -1 |