Ajax vs Excelsior analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
76.4%
Win probability
2.43
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.2%
7-0
0.4%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.5%
6-0
1.3%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.6%
5-0
3.2%
6-1
0.9%
7-2
0.1%
+5
4.2%
4-0
6.6%
5-1
2.1%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
9%
3-0
10.9%
4-1
4.4%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
16%
2-0
13.4%
3-1
7.2%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
22.2%
1-0
11.1%
2-1
8.9%
3-2
2.4%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
22.7%
15.4%
Draw
0-0
4.6%
1-1
7.3%
2-2
2.9%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
0.1%
0
15.4%
8.2%
Win probability
0.66
Expected goals
0-1
3%
1-2
2.4%
2-3
0.6%
3-4
0.1%
-1
6.2%
0-2
1%
1-3
0.5%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
1.7%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.3%
0-4
0%
1-5
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-3%
-12%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Ajax
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Dec. 2017 |
AJA
3 - 0
PSV
30%
23%
46%
|
83 | 87 | 4 | 0 |
| 02 Dec. 2017 |
TWE
3 - 3
AJA
16%
22%
62%
|
83 | 66 | 17 | 0 |
| 26 Nov. 2017 |
AJA
5 - 1
RJC
80%
14%
6%
|
82 | 62 | 20 | +1 |
| 21 Nov. 2017 |
AJA
2 - 1
MON
30%
24%
46%
|
82 | 87 | 5 | 0 |
| 18 Nov. 2017 |
NAC
0 - 8
AJA
19%
24%
58%
|
82 | 67 | 15 | 0 |
Matches
Excelsior
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Dec. 2017 |
EXC
1 - 2
ZWO
40%
26%
35%
|
66 | 70 | 4 | 0 |
| 03 Dec. 2017 |
NAC
3 - 1
EXC
46%
26%
28%
|
67 | 66 | 1 | -1 |
| 26 Nov. 2017 |
EXC
1 - 2
PSV
14%
20%
66%
|
67 | 87 | 20 | 0 |
| 19 Nov. 2017 |
UTR
3 - 1
EXC
59%
23%
17%
|
68 | 76 | 8 | -1 |
| 04 Nov. 2017 |
EXC
1 - 0
RJC
57%
23%
21%
|
67 | 63 | 4 | +1 |