Ajax vs Excelsior analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
90.5%
Win probability
3.76
Expected goals
10-0
0.2%
+10
0.2%
9-0
0.5%
10-1
0.1%
+9
0.6%
8-0
1.2%
9-1
0.3%
10-2
<0%
+8
1.6%
7-0
2.6%
8-1
0.8%
9-2
0.1%
+7
3.5%
6-0
4.8%
7-1
1.7%
8-2
0.3%
9-3
<0%
+6
6.8%
5-0
7.7%
6-1
3.1%
7-2
0.5%
8-3
0.1%
+5
11.4%
4-0
10.2%
5-1
4.9%
6-2
1%
7-3
0.1%
+4
16.2%
3-0
10.8%
4-1
6.6%
5-2
1.6%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
19.2%
2-0
8.6%
3-1
7%
4-2
2.1%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
18.1%
1-0
4.6%
2-1
5.6%
3-2
2.2%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
12.9%
6.5%
Draw
0-0
1.2%
1-1
2.9%
2-2
1.8%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
0.1%
0
6.5%
2.8%
Win probability
0.64
Expected goals
0-1
0.8%
1-2
0.9%
2-3
0.4%
3-4
0.1%
-1
2.2%
0-2
0.3%
1-3
0.2%
2-4
0.1%
-2
0.5%
0-3
0.1%
1-4
0%
-3
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+4%
+6%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Ajax
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Sep. 1984 |
AJA
5 - 1
MVV
93%
5%
2%
|
88 | 63 | 25 | 0 |
| 02 Sep. 1984 |
SPA
2 - 5
AJA
33%
23%
44%
|
88 | 76 | 12 | 0 |
| 13 May. 1984 |
AJA
7 - 2
FCD
97%
2%
1%
|
88 | 56 | 32 | 0 |
| 06 May. 1984 |
SPA
5 - 2
AJA
31%
23%
46%
|
88 | 77 | 11 | 0 |
| 29 Apr. 1984 |
AJA
4 - 0
EXC
90%
7%
3%
|
88 | 69 | 19 | 0 |
Matches
Excelsior
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Sep. 1984 |
EXC
1 - 1
SPA
46%
25%
29%
|
67 | 76 | 9 | 0 |
| 01 Sep. 1984 |
NAC
0 - 0
EXC
49%
26%
25%
|
68 | 63 | 5 | -1 |
| 12 May. 1984 |
AZA
2 - 1
EXC
75%
17%
9%
|
69 | 85 | 16 | -1 |
| 06 May. 1984 |
EXC
2 - 1
GAE
57%
23%
21%
|
69 | 70 | 1 | 0 |
| 29 Apr. 1984 |
AJA
4 - 0
EXC
90%
7%
3%
|
69 | 88 | 19 | 0 |