Eredivisie Round 2

Ajax vs Excelsior analysis

Ajax Excelsior
89 ELO 62
24.5% Tilt 1.2%
102º General ELO ranking 615º
Country ELO ranking 18º
ELO win probability
91.2%
Ajax
6.5%
Draw
2.3%
Excelsior

Possible results

Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
91.1%
Win probability
Ajax
3.54
Expected goals
10-0
0.2%
+10
0.2%
9-0
0.4%
10-1
0.1%
+9
0.5%
8-0
1.1%
9-1
0.2%
10-2
<0%
+8
1.3%
7-0
2.5%
8-1
0.5%
9-2
0.1%
+7
3%
6-0
4.9%
7-1
1.2%
8-2
0.1%
+6
6.2%
5-0
8.2%
6-1
2.4%
7-2
0.3%
8-3
<0%
+5
10.9%
4-0
11.6%
5-1
4%
6-2
0.6%
7-3
<0%
+4
16.3%
3-0
13.1%
4-1
5.7%
5-2
1%
6-3
0.1%
+3
19.9%
2-0
11.1%
3-1
6.4%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
19.2%
1-0
6.3%
2-1
5.5%
3-2
1.6%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
13.6%
6.5%
Draw
0-0
1.8%
1-1
3.1%
2-2
1.3%
3-3
0.3%
4-4
<0%
0
6.5%
2.3%
Win probability
Excelsior
0.49
Expected goals
0-1
0.9%
1-2
0.8%
2-3
0.2%
3-4
0%
-1
1.9%
0-2
0.2%
1-3
0.1%
2-4
0%
-2
0.4%
0-3
0%
1-4
0%
-3
0.1%

ELO Graph/Inclination

← Defensive Tilt Attacking →
Ajax
+5%
+5%
Excelsior

ELO progression

Ajax
Excelsior
Next opponents in ELO points

Matches

Ajax
Ajax
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
16 Aug. 1975
SPA
Sparta Rotterdam
1 - 1
Ajax
AJA
34%
27%
40%
88 82 6 0
11 May. 1975
MVV
MVV Maastricht
0 - 0
Ajax
AJA
19%
26%
56%
88 72 16 0
04 May. 1975
AJA
Ajax
3 - 1
ADO Den Haag
ADO
86%
10%
4%
88 76 12 0
27 Apr. 1975
AJA
Ajax
2 - 4
PSV
PSV
58%
21%
22%
88 88 0 0
20 Apr. 1975
GRA
De Graafschap
0 - 0
Ajax
AJA
22%
24%
53%
88 67 21 0

Matches

Excelsior
Excelsior
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
17 Aug. 1975
EXC
Excelsior
1 - 5
SC Telstar
TEL
36%
31%
34%
63 77 14 0
11 May. 1975
EXC
Excelsior
1 - 1
AZ Alkmaar
AZA
34%
31%
36%
62 76 14 +1
04 May. 1975
HFC
HFC Haarlem
1 - 0
Excelsior
EXC
68%
20%
12%
63 66 3 -1
27 Apr. 1975
EXC
Excelsior
2 - 2
Utrecht
UTR
34%
29%
38%
63 72 9 0
19 Apr. 1975
GAE
Go Ahead Eagles
4 - 0
Excelsior
EXC
68%
20%
12%
63 73 10 0