Ajax vs Excelsior Maassluis analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
87.6%
Win probability
2.99
Expected goals
10-0
0.1%
+10
0.1%
9-0
0.2%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.2%
8-0
0.5%
9-1
0.1%
+8
0.6%
7-0
1.4%
8-1
0.2%
9-2
<0%
+7
1.6%
6-0
3.2%
7-1
0.6%
8-2
0.1%
+6
3.9%
5-0
6.4%
6-1
1.4%
7-2
0.1%
+5
8%
4-0
10.7%
5-1
2.9%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
13.9%
3-0
14.4%
4-1
4.8%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
<0%
+3
19.8%
2-0
14.4%
3-1
6.4%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
22%
1-0
9.7%
2-1
6.4%
3-2
1.4%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
17.6%
9.2%
Draw
0-0
3.2%
1-1
4.3%
2-2
1.4%
3-3
0.2%
4-4
<0%
0
9.2%
3.2%
Win probability
0.44
Expected goals
0-1
1.4%
1-2
1%
2-3
0.2%
3-4
0%
-1
2.6%
0-2
0.3%
1-3
0.1%
2-4
0%
-2
0.5%
0-3
0%
1-4
0%
-3
0.1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Ajax
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Jan. 2022 |
UTR
0 - 3
AJA
19%
21%
60%
|
88 | 81 | 7 | 0 |
| 22 Dec. 2021 |
AJA
5 - 0
FOR
80%
13%
7%
|
88 | 66 | 22 | 0 |
| 19 Dec. 2021 |
FEY
0 - 2
AJA
31%
23%
45%
|
88 | 86 | 2 | 0 |
| 15 Dec. 2021 |
AJA
4 - 0
BAR
86%
10%
4%
|
88 | 48 | 40 | 0 |
| 12 Dec. 2021 |
AJA
1 - 2
AZA
59%
21%
20%
|
88 | 85 | 3 | 0 |
Matches
Excelsior Maassluis
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Dec. 2021 |
FCE
0 - 1
EXC
85%
11%
4%
|
46 | 72 | 26 | 0 |
| 04 Dec. 2021 |
HHC
1 - 0
EXC
52%
23%
25%
|
47 | 49 | 2 | -1 |
| 27 Nov. 2021 |
KAT
2 - 0
EXC
63%
22%
16%
|
47 | 57 | 10 | 0 |
| 20 Nov. 2021 |
EXC
3 - 2
VOL
54%
22%
24%
|
47 | 40 | 7 | 0 |
| 06 Nov. 2021 |
EXC
0 - 2
SPA
46%
24%
31%
|
49 | 47 | 2 | -2 |