UCL Last 16
Global 1-2
Ajax vs CSKA Sofia analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
87.6%
Win probability
3.38
Expected goals
10-0
0.1%
+10
0.1%
9-0
0.3%
10-1
0.1%
+9
0.3%
8-0
0.8%
9-1
0.2%
10-2
<0%
+8
1%
7-0
1.8%
8-1
0.5%
9-2
0.1%
+7
2.3%
6-0
3.7%
7-1
1.2%
8-2
0.2%
9-3
<0%
+6
5%
5-0
6.5%
6-1
2.4%
7-2
0.4%
8-3
<0%
+5
9.3%
4-0
9.7%
5-1
4.2%
6-2
0.8%
7-3
0.1%
+4
14.8%
3-0
11.5%
4-1
6.3%
5-2
1.4%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
19.3%
2-0
10.2%
3-1
7.4%
4-2
2%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
20%
1-0
6%
2-1
6.6%
3-2
2.4%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
15.5%
8.4%
Draw
0-0
1.8%
1-1
3.9%
2-2
2.1%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
0.1%
0
8.4%
3.9%
Win probability
0.65
Expected goals
0-1
1.2%
1-2
1.3%
2-3
0.5%
3-4
0.1%
-1
3%
0-2
0.4%
1-3
0.3%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
0.7%
0-3
0.1%
1-4
0%
-3
0.1%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Ajax
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Oct. 1973 |
AJA
1 - 1
PSV
80%
13%
8%
|
88 | 84 | 4 | 0 |
| 14 Oct. 1973 |
UTR
2 - 3
AJA
22%
27%
52%
|
88 | 77 | 11 | 0 |
| 07 Oct. 1973 |
AJA
5 - 0
HFC
90%
7%
3%
|
88 | 68 | 20 | 0 |
| 30 Sep. 1973 |
AZA
1 - 1
AJA
14%
23%
63%
|
88 | 63 | 25 | 0 |
| 23 Sep. 1973 |
AJA
2 - 1
FEY
59%
20%
21%
|
88 | 88 | 0 | 0 |
Matches
CSKA Sofia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Oct. 1973 |
ETA
1 - 1
CSK
36%
29%
35%
|
79 | 67 | 12 | 0 |
| 06 Oct. 1973 |
CSK
2 - 1
SSO
67%
19%
14%
|
79 | 77 | 2 | 0 |
| 03 Oct. 1973 |
SSW
0 - 1
CSK
59%
21%
20%
|
80 | 81 | 1 | -1 |
| 19 Sep. 1973 |
CSK
3 - 0
SSW
64%
19%
17%
|
79 | 81 | 2 | +1 |
| 15 Sep. 1973 |
CSK
4 - 2
BOT
71%
17%
12%
|
79 | 74 | 5 | 0 |