Ajax vs Celta analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
62.3%
Win probability
2
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.5%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.6%
5-0
1.4%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.9%
4-0
3.6%
5-1
1.3%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
5.1%
3-0
7.2%
4-1
3.3%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
11.1%
2-0
10.8%
3-1
6.6%
4-2
1.5%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
19.1%
1-0
10.8%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.3%
21%
Draw
0-0
5.4%
1-1
10%
2-2
4.6%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
21%
16.7%
Win probability
0.92
Expected goals
0-1
5%
1-2
4.6%
2-3
1.4%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
11.2%
0-2
2.3%
1-3
1.4%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
4.1%
0-3
0.7%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.1%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-4%
+5%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Ajax
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Oct. 2003 |
AJA
5 - 1
VOL
82%
12%
6%
|
88 | 66 | 22 | 0 |
| 05 Oct. 2003 |
GRO
1 - 3
AJA
17%
23%
60%
|
88 | 67 | 21 | 0 |
| 01 Oct. 2003 |
AJA
2 - 0
BRU
56%
21%
23%
|
88 | 87 | 1 | 0 |
| 28 Sep. 2003 |
AJA
6 - 0
WIL
78%
14%
8%
|
88 | 73 | 15 | 0 |
| 21 Sep. 2003 |
NAC
4 - 2
AJA
21%
25%
54%
|
88 | 76 | 12 | 0 |
Matches
Celta
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Oct. 2003 |
CEL
0 - 2
RMA
26%
24%
50%
|
88 | 94 | 6 | 0 |
| 08 Oct. 2003 |
PON
1 - 1
CEL
17%
25%
58%
|
89 | 52 | 37 | -1 |
| 05 Oct. 2003 |
MAL
2 - 1
CEL
42%
27%
31%
|
89 | 86 | 3 | 0 |
| 01 Oct. 2003 |
CEL
0 - 0
ACM
48%
25%
27%
|
89 | 90 | 1 | 0 |
| 27 Sep. 2003 |
CEL
3 - 2
VAD
61%
22%
17%
|
89 | 86 | 3 | 0 |