Ajax vs B. Dortmund analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
32.6%
Win probability
1.55
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.4%
4-0
0.8%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
1.4%
3-0
2.1%
4-1
1.5%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
0.1%
+3
4.1%
2-0
4%
3-1
3.8%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
9.5%
1-0
5.2%
2-1
7.4%
3-2
3.5%
4-3
0.8%
5-4
0.1%
6-5
<0%
+1
17.1%
22.4%
Draw
0-0
3.3%
1-1
9.6%
2-2
6.9%
3-3
2.2%
4-4
0.4%
5-5
<0%
0
22.4%
45%
Win probability
1.85
Expected goals
0-1
6.2%
1-2
8.8%
2-3
4.2%
3-4
1%
4-5
0.1%
5-6
0%
-1
20.4%
0-2
5.7%
1-3
5.4%
2-4
1.9%
3-5
0.4%
4-6
0%
-2
13.5%
0-3
3.5%
1-4
2.5%
2-5
0.7%
3-6
0.1%
4-7
0%
-3
6.9%
0-4
1.6%
1-5
0.9%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
2.8%
0-5
0.6%
1-6
0.3%
2-7
0.1%
-5
0.9%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.3%
0-7
0%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-5%
+4%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Ajax
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Oct. 2021 |
SCH
0 - 2
AJA
11%
17%
72%
|
88 | 70 | 18 | 0 |
| 03 Oct. 2021 |
AJA
0 - 1
UTR
69%
17%
14%
|
88 | 80 | 8 | 0 |
| 28 Sep. 2021 |
AJA
2 - 0
BJK
70%
17%
14%
|
88 | 83 | 5 | 0 |
| 25 Sep. 2021 |
AJA
3 - 0
GRO
80%
13%
7%
|
88 | 71 | 17 | 0 |
| 21 Sep. 2021 |
FOR
0 - 5
AJA
10%
16%
74%
|
88 | 65 | 23 | 0 |
Matches
B. Dortmund
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Oct. 2021 |
BVB
3 - 1
M05
74%
16%
10%
|
90 | 79 | 11 | 0 |
| 07 Oct. 2021 |
BVB
0 - 3
PAD
83%
12%
5%
|
90 | 72 | 18 | 0 |
| 02 Oct. 2021 |
BVB
2 - 1
AUG
80%
14%
7%
|
90 | 75 | 15 | 0 |
| 28 Sep. 2021 |
BVB
1 - 0
SCP
67%
18%
15%
|
90 | 85 | 5 | 0 |
| 25 Sep. 2021 |
MON
1 - 0
BVB
15%
19%
66%
|
91 | 85 | 6 | -1 |