Ajax vs AZ Alkmaar analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
52.1%
Win probability
1.8
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.8%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.1%
4-0
2.2%
5-1
0.9%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.4%
3-0
5%
4-1
2.6%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
+3
8.2%
2-0
8.3%
3-1
5.8%
4-2
1.5%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
15.9%
1-0
9.3%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
3.4%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.1%
23.2%
Draw
0-0
5.2%
1-1
10.8%
2-2
5.7%
3-3
1.3%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
23.2%
24.7%
Win probability
1.17
Expected goals
0-1
6%
1-2
6.3%
2-3
2.2%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
15%
0-2
3.5%
1-3
2.5%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
6.7%
0-3
1.4%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
2.2%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.6%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Ajax
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Dec. 2006 |
AJA
6 - 0
WIL
74%
17%
9%
|
88 | 67 | 21 | 0 |
| 30 Nov. 2006 |
AJA
0 - 2
ESP
60%
23%
16%
|
88 | 86 | 2 | 0 |
| 26 Nov. 2006 |
SPA
3 - 0
AJA
17%
21%
62%
|
88 | 68 | 20 | 0 |
| 23 Nov. 2006 |
SPA
0 - 0
AJA
26%
25%
49%
|
88 | 82 | 6 | 0 |
| 19 Nov. 2006 |
AJA
1 - 1
TWE
69%
19%
12%
|
88 | 80 | 8 | 0 |
Matches
AZ Alkmaar
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Dec. 2006 |
AZA
5 - 0
EXC
79%
14%
8%
|
86 | 70 | 16 | 0 |
| 29 Nov. 2006 |
AZA
2 - 2
SLI
71%
18%
11%
|
86 | 84 | 2 | 0 |
| 26 Nov. 2006 |
SCH
1 - 3
AZA
31%
25%
44%
|
86 | 80 | 6 | 0 |
| 18 Nov. 2006 |
FEY
3 - 2
AZA
56%
22%
22%
|
86 | 88 | 2 | 0 |
| 11 Nov. 2006 |
AZA
5 - 0
HER
80%
13%
7%
|
86 | 67 | 19 | 0 |