Ajax vs AZ Alkmaar analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
59.4%
Win probability
1.98
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.5%
5-0
1.2%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.7%
4-0
3.1%
5-1
1.3%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.7%
3-0
6.4%
4-1
3.2%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
10.3%
2-0
9.7%
3-1
6.6%
4-2
1.7%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
18.1%
1-0
9.8%
2-1
10%
3-2
3.4%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.7%
21.4%
Draw
0-0
4.9%
1-1
10.1%
2-2
5.1%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
21.4%
19.2%
Win probability
1.03
Expected goals
0-1
5.1%
1-2
5.2%
2-3
1.8%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
12.4%
0-2
2.6%
1-3
1.8%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
4.9%
0-3
0.9%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.5%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+4%
+8%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Ajax
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Apr. 2006 |
RJC
2 - 1
AJA
18%
22%
60%
|
88 | 76 | 12 | 0 |
| 26 Mar. 2006 |
AJA
1 - 1
NAC
74%
16%
10%
|
88 | 68 | 20 | 0 |
| 22 Mar. 2006 |
AJA
4 - 1
RJC
73%
17%
10%
|
88 | 76 | 12 | 0 |
| 19 Mar. 2006 |
GRO
3 - 2
AJA
15%
22%
63%
|
88 | 74 | 14 | 0 |
| 14 Mar. 2006 |
INT
1 - 0
AJA
59%
22%
19%
|
88 | 92 | 4 | 0 |
Matches
AZ Alkmaar
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Apr. 2006 |
AZA
3 - 2
NAC
75%
16%
9%
|
84 | 68 | 16 | 0 |
| 26 Mar. 2006 |
RKC
0 - 1
AZA
24%
24%
52%
|
84 | 71 | 13 | 0 |
| 22 Mar. 2006 |
PSV
2 - 0
AZA
59%
23%
19%
|
85 | 89 | 4 | -1 |
| 19 Mar. 2006 |
AZA
1 - 0
FEY
33%
24%
43%
|
84 | 88 | 4 | +1 |
| 12 Mar. 2006 |
WIL
1 - 3
AZA
22%
22%
56%
|
84 | 68 | 16 | 0 |