Ajax vs Auxerre analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
68.8%
Win probability
2.15
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.7%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.9%
5-0
2%
6-1
0.6%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.7%
4-0
4.7%
5-1
1.6%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
6.6%
3-0
8.8%
4-1
3.7%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
13.2%
2-0
12.3%
3-1
6.9%
4-2
1.5%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
20.8%
1-0
11.4%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
2.7%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.2%
18.8%
Draw
0-0
5.3%
1-1
9%
2-2
3.8%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
18.8%
12.4%
Win probability
0.79
Expected goals
0-1
4.2%
1-2
3.5%
2-3
1%
3-4
0.1%
4-5
0%
-1
8.8%
0-2
1.6%
1-3
0.9%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
2.8%
0-3
0.4%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.6%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+2%
+4%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Ajax
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Oct. 2010 |
AJA
3 - 0
NAC
78%
14%
8%
|
88 | 77 | 11 | 0 |
| 03 Oct. 2010 |
AJA
1 - 2
UTR
80%
13%
6%
|
88 | 79 | 9 | 0 |
| 28 Sep. 2010 |
AJA
1 - 1
ACM
54%
23%
23%
|
88 | 89 | 1 | 0 |
| 25 Sep. 2010 |
TWE
2 - 2
AJA
33%
24%
43%
|
88 | 87 | 1 | 0 |
| 22 Sep. 2010 |
AJA
5 - 0
MVV
79%
14%
7%
|
89 | 64 | 25 | -1 |
Matches
Auxerre
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Oct. 2010 |
AUX
0 - 1
GIR
24%
26%
50%
|
85 | 89 | 4 | 0 |
| 02 Oct. 2010 |
ARL
0 - 4
AUX
18%
28%
54%
|
85 | 67 | 18 | 0 |
| 28 Sep. 2010 |
AUX
0 - 1
RMA
18%
24%
59%
|
85 | 93 | 8 | 0 |
| 25 Sep. 2010 |
AUX
2 - 2
ASN
51%
26%
23%
|
85 | 81 | 4 | 0 |
| 19 Sep. 2010 |
LIL
1 - 0
AUX
66%
20%
14%
|
85 | 89 | 4 | 0 |