Ajax vs KAS Eupen analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
86.3%
Win probability
3.2
Expected goals
10-0
0.1%
+10
0.1%
9-0
0.2%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.3%
8-0
0.6%
9-1
0.1%
10-2
<0%
+8
0.7%
7-0
1.5%
8-1
0.4%
9-2
<0%
+7
1.9%
6-0
3.2%
7-1
0.9%
8-2
0.1%
+6
4.3%
5-0
6%
6-1
2%
7-2
0.3%
8-3
<0%
+5
8.4%
4-0
9.4%
5-1
3.8%
6-2
0.6%
7-3
0.1%
+4
14%
3-0
11.8%
4-1
6%
5-2
1.2%
6-3
0.1%
+3
19.2%
2-0
11.1%
3-1
7.5%
4-2
1.9%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
20.7%
1-0
6.9%
2-1
7%
3-2
2.4%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
16.8%
9.3%
Draw
0-0
2.2%
1-1
4.4%
2-2
2.2%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
0.1%
0
9.3%
4.3%
Win probability
0.63
Expected goals
0-1
1.4%
1-2
1.4%
2-3
0.5%
3-4
0.1%
-1
3.3%
0-2
0.4%
1-3
0.3%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
0.8%
0-3
0.1%
1-4
0%
-3
0.1%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Ajax
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Jul. 2022 |
AJA
3 - 0
LOK
80%
13%
7%
|
88 | 78 | 10 | 0 |
| 02 Jul. 2022 |
AJA
2 - 5
PAD
82%
11%
6%
|
88 | 73 | 15 | 0 |
| 28 Jun. 2022 |
MEP
0 - 3
AJA
3%
13%
84%
|
88 | 57 | 31 | 0 |
| 15 May. 2022 |
VIT
2 - 2
AJA
17%
21%
61%
|
88 | 81 | 7 | 0 |
| 11 May. 2022 |
AJA
5 - 0
SCH
78%
14%
8%
|
88 | 72 | 16 | 0 |
Matches
KAS Eupen
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Jul. 2022 |
KAI
4 - 1
EUP
44%
25%
31%
|
66 | 68 | 2 | 0 |
| 02 Jul. 2022 |
EUP
4 - 1
AAA
81%
14%
5%
|
66 | 43 | 23 | 0 |
| 26 Jun. 2022 |
DIE
1 - 4
EUP
12%
18%
71%
|
66 | 48 | 18 | 0 |
| 09 Apr. 2022 |
EUP
0 - 2
OOS
44%
26%
30%
|
67 | 66 | 1 | -1 |
| 03 Apr. 2022 |
GNK
5 - 0
EUP
68%
19%
13%
|
68 | 80 | 12 | -1 |