UCL Quarter-finals

Global 3-1

Ajax vs Arsenal analysis

Ajax Arsenal
89 ELO 90
27.4% Tilt 4.4%
103º General ELO ranking 18º
Country ELO ranking
ELO win probability
64.6%
Ajax
19.2%
Draw
16.2%
Arsenal

Possible results

Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
64.6%
Win probability
Ajax
2.22
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.7%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.9%
5-0
1.8%
6-1
0.7%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
2.6%
4-0
4%
5-1
1.8%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
6.1%
3-0
7.2%
4-1
4%
5-2
0.9%
6-3
0.1%
+3
12.2%
2-0
9.7%
3-1
7.3%
4-2
2.1%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
19.4%
1-0
8.7%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
3.7%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23%
19.2%
Draw
0-0
3.9%
1-1
8.9%
2-2
5%
3-3
1.3%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
19.2%
16.1%
Win probability
Arsenal
1.02
Expected goals
0-1
4%
1-2
4.5%
2-3
1.7%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
10.6%
0-2
2%
1-3
1.5%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0.1%
-2
4.1%
0-3
0.7%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.2%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
<0%

ELO Graph/Inclination

← Defensive Tilt Attacking →

ELO progression

Ajax
Arsenal
Next opponents in ELO points

Matches

Ajax
Ajax
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
03 Mar. 1972
AJA
Ajax
7 - 0
Groningen
GRO
88%
9%
3%
88 69 19 0
26 Feb. 1972
EXC
Excelsior
0 - 4
Ajax
AJA
10%
17%
73%
88 64 24 0
06 Feb. 1972
NAC
NAC Breda
2 - 5
Ajax
AJA
21%
26%
53%
88 69 19 0
16 Jan. 1972
AJA
Ajax
2 - 1
Sparta Rotterdam
SPA
76%
15%
9%
88 84 4 0
02 Jan. 1972
ADO
ADO Den Haag
1 - 2
Ajax
AJA
32%
28%
41%
88 83 5 0

Matches

Arsenal
Arsenal
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
04 Mar. 1972
MAC
Manchester City
2 - 0
Arsenal
ARS
45%
27%
28%
91 88 3 0
29 Feb. 1972
ARS
Arsenal
0 - 0
Derby County
DER
66%
20%
14%
91 88 3 0
26 Feb. 1972
DER
Derby County
2 - 2
Arsenal
ARS
53%
24%
23%
91 88 3 0
19 Feb. 1972
IPS
Ipswich Town
0 - 1
Arsenal
ARS
26%
29%
46%
90 82 8 +1
12 Feb. 1972
ARS
Arsenal
2 - 0
Derby County
DER
59%
24%
17%
90 87 3 0