Eredivisie U19 Regular Season Eredivisie Round 4

Ajax U19 vs Willem II U19 analysis

Ajax U19 Willem II U19
39 ELO 19
12.3% Tilt 7.9%
6417º General ELO ranking 10236º
106º Country ELO ranking 136º
ELO win probability
86.6%
Ajax U19
9.1%
Draw
4.3%
Willem II U19

Possible results

Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
86.5%
Win probability
Ajax U19
3.29
Expected goals
10-0
0.1%
+10
0.1%
9-0
0.2%
10-1
0.1%
+9
0.3%
8-0
0.7%
9-1
0.2%
10-2
<0%
+8
0.8%
7-0
1.6%
8-1
0.4%
9-2
0.1%
+7
2.1%
6-0
3.4%
7-1
1.1%
8-2
0.1%
9-3
<0%
+6
4.6%
5-0
6.1%
6-1
2.3%
7-2
0.4%
8-3
<0%
+5
8.8%
4-0
9.3%
5-1
4.1%
6-2
0.8%
7-3
0.1%
+4
14.2%
3-0
11.3%
4-1
6.2%
5-2
1.4%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
19.1%
2-0
10.3%
3-1
7.6%
4-2
2.1%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
20.3%
1-0
6.2%
2-1
6.9%
3-2
2.5%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
16.2%
9.1%
Draw
0-0
1.9%
1-1
4.2%
2-2
2.3%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
9.1%
4.3%
Win probability
Willem II U19
0.67
Expected goals
0-1
1.3%
1-2
1.4%
2-3
0.5%
3-4
0.1%
4-5
0%
-1
3.3%
0-2
0.4%
1-3
0.3%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
0.8%
0-3
0.1%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.2%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%

ELO Graph/Inclination

← Defensive Tilt Attacking →
Ajax U19
+83%
+48%
Willem II U19

ELO progression

Ajax U19
Willem II U19
Next opponents in ELO points

Matches

Ajax U19
Ajax U19
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
23 Sep. 2015
AJA
Ajax U19
2 - 0
PEC Zwolle U19
ZWO
83%
11%
6%
39 22 17 0
19 Sep. 2015
HEE
Heerenveen U19
0 - 4
Ajax U19
AJA
13%
17%
71%
38 19 19 +1
12 Sep. 2015
AJA
Ajax U19
2 - 1
PSV U19
PSV
62%
19%
20%
37 34 3 +1
26 Aug. 2015
VIT
Vitesse U19
2 - 1
Ajax U19
AJA
16%
18%
67%
38 22 16 -1
09 May. 2015
AJA
Ajax U19
6 - 0
NEC OSS U19
NEC
88%
9%
4%
39 18 21 -1

Matches

Willem II U19
Willem II U19
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
23 Sep. 2015
WIL
Willem II U19
0 - 2
Utrecht U19
UTR
17%
20%
63%
20 30 10 0
19 Sep. 2015
VIT
Vitesse U19
5 - 0
Willem II U19
WIL
63%
19%
19%
21 24 3 -1
12 Sep. 2015
WIL
Willem II U19
3 - 1
Heerenveen U19
HEE
46%
23%
31%
20 19 1 +1
26 Aug. 2015
PSV
PSV U19
5 - 1
Willem II U19
WIL
79%
13%
8%
20 33 13 0
23 May. 2015
ZWO
PEC Zwolle U19
0 - 1
Willem II U19
WIL
60%
20%
20%
20 23 3 0