noscript image

Estonia Third Division. Este/Norte, Matchday 19

Ajax Lasnamäe vs Trans II analysis

Ajax Lasnamäe Trans II
4 ELO 5
79% Tilt 150%
7830º General ELO ranking 21247º
28º Country ELO ranking 179º
ELO win probability
39.8%
Ajax Lasnamäe
18.1%
Draw
42.1%
Trans II

Possible results

Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
39.8%
Win probability
Ajax Lasnamäe
2.53
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
9-1
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
0.1%
9-3
<0%
+6
0.5%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.6%
7-2
0.3%
8-3
0.1%
9-4
<0%
+5
1.4%
4-0
1%
5-1
1.3%
6-2
0.7%
7-3
0.2%
8-4
<0%
+4
3.4%
3-0
1.6%
4-1
2.6%
5-2
1.7%
6-3
0.6%
7-4
0.1%
8-5
<0%
+3
6.8%
2-0
1.9%
3-1
4.2%
4-2
3.4%
5-3
1.5%
6-4
0.4%
7-5
0.1%
8-6
<0%
+2
11.5%
1-0
1.5%
2-1
4.9%
3-2
5.4%
4-3
3%
5-4
1%
6-5
0.2%
7-6
<0%
+1
16%
18.1%
Draw
0-0
0.6%
1-1
3.9%
2-2
6.4%
3-3
4.7%
4-4
1.9%
5-5
0.5%
6-6
0.1%
7-7
<0%
0
18.1%
42.1%
Win probability
Trans II
2.6
Expected goals
0-1
1.5%
1-2
5%
2-3
5.5%
3-4
3%
4-5
1%
5-6
0.2%
6-7
0%
-1
16.4%
0-2
2%
1-3
4.4%
2-4
3.6%
3-5
1.6%
4-6
0.4%
5-7
0.1%
6-8
0%
-2
12.1%
0-3
1.7%
1-4
2.8%
2-5
1.9%
3-6
0.7%
4-7
0.2%
5-8
0%
-3
7.3%
0-4
1.1%
1-5
1.5%
2-6
0.8%
3-7
0.3%
4-8
0.1%
-4
3.7%
0-5
0.6%
1-6
0.6%
2-7
0.3%
3-8
0.1%
4-9
0%
-5
1.6%
0-6
0.3%
1-7
0.2%
2-8
0.1%
3-9
0%
-6
0.6%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0.1%
2-9
0%
-7
0.2%
0-8
0%
1-9
0%
-8
0.1%

ELO Graph/Inclination

← Defensive Tilt Attacking →
Ajax Lasnamäe
+72%
+111%
Trans II

Points and table prediction

Current table Final expectations
PK PTS. PTS. RK PROB
FC Tallinn
58
58
50%
TJK Legion II
58
58
50%
FCI Tallinn
57
57
100%
Trans II
53
53
100%
Tartu Welco II
43
43
100%
Sillamäe Kalev
42
42
100%
Põhja-Tallinna JK Volta
33
33
100%
JK Järve II
32
32
50%
Jogeva SK Noorus 96
32
32
50%
Maardu II
10º
30
30
10º
100%
FC Helios Tartu
11º
28
28
11º
100%
Ajax Lasnamäe
12º
24
24
12º
100%
Tammeka III
13º
21
21
13º
100%
Jõgeva Wolves
14º
13
13
14º
100%
Expected probabilities
Ajax Lasnamäe
Trans II
Mid-table
100% 100%

ELO progression

Ajax Lasnamäe
AJA
Trans II
JKN
FCI Tallinn
TIN
Maardu II
MST
Vändra JK Vaprus
VAN
JK Järve II
KJK
Next opponents in ELO points

Matches

Ajax Lasnamäe
Ajax Lasnamäe
1%
X%
2%
ELO AJA ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
19 Sep. 2020
JWO
Jõgeva Wolves
1 - 8
Ajax Lasnamäe
AJA
47%
27%
26%
50 108 58 +1
12 Sep. 2020
FCT
FC Tallinn
5 - 1
Ajax Lasnamäe
AJA
46%
28%
26%
50 136 86 -1
05 Sep. 2020
SIK
Sillamäe Kalev
6 - 0
Ajax Lasnamäe
AJA
46%
28%
26%
51 120 69 -1
30 Aug. 2020
AJA
Ajax Lasnamäe
2 - 2
Tartu Welco II
TJK
46%
27%
28%
51 75 -24 0
19 Aug. 2020
KJK
JK Järve II
1 - 2
Ajax Lasnamäe
AJA
46%
27%
27%
51 53 2 0

Matches

Trans II
Trans II
1%
X%
2%
ELO JKN ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
20 Sep. 2020
TIN
FCI Tallinn
0 - 1
Trans II
JKN
47%
27%
26%
88 131 43 0
09 Sep. 2020
JKN
Trans II
7 - 0
Jõgeva Wolves
JWO
46%
27%
28%
87 109 -22 +1
06 Sep. 2020
FCT
FC Tallinn
3 - 0
Trans II
JKN
47%
27%
26%
88 135 47 -1
26 Aug. 2020
JKN
Trans II
1 - 2
Sillamäe Kalev
SIK
46%
27%
28%
88 119 -31 0
22 Aug. 2020
TJK
Tartu Welco II
5 - 0
Trans II
JKN
46%
27%
27%
89 74 -15 -1