Ajaccio vs Lorient analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
26.4%
Win probability
1.04
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.4%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.5%
3-0
1.5%
4-1
0.6%
5-2
0.1%
+3
2.2%
2-0
4.3%
3-1
2.2%
4-2
0.4%
5-3
<0%
+2
7%
1-0
8.2%
2-1
6.4%
3-2
1.7%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
16.6%
25.9%
Draw
0-0
7.9%
1-1
12.3%
2-2
4.8%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.9%
47.7%
Win probability
1.5
Expected goals
0-1
11.8%
1-2
9.2%
2-3
2.4%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
23.8%
0-2
8.8%
1-3
4.6%
2-4
0.9%
3-5
0.1%
-2
14.4%
0-3
4.4%
1-4
1.7%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
6.4%
0-4
1.6%
1-5
0.5%
2-6
0.1%
-4
2.2%
0-5
0.5%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.6%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+7%
+7%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Ajaccio
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Mar. 2013 |
BAS
1 - 0
AJA
38%
26%
37%
|
77 | 70 | 7 | 0 |
| 23 Feb. 2013 |
AJA
1 - 3
LIL
19%
26%
55%
|
77 | 88 | 11 | 0 |
| 16 Feb. 2013 |
BRE
1 - 1
AJA
40%
26%
34%
|
77 | 76 | 1 | 0 |
| 09 Feb. 2013 |
AJA
1 - 0
GIR
20%
25%
56%
|
76 | 87 | 11 | +1 |
| 03 Feb. 2013 |
AJA
3 - 1
LYO
13%
22%
65%
|
75 | 89 | 14 | +1 |
Matches
Lorient
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Mar. 2013 |
LOR
1 - 1
VAL
50%
24%
25%
|
83 | 81 | 2 | 0 |
| 27 Feb. 2013 |
LOR
3 - 0
BRE
60%
24%
17%
|
83 | 77 | 6 | 0 |
| 24 Feb. 2013 |
LYO
3 - 1
LOR
67%
19%
14%
|
83 | 89 | 6 | 0 |
| 16 Feb. 2013 |
LOR
2 - 1
ETG
54%
24%
21%
|
83 | 78 | 5 | 0 |
| 09 Feb. 2013 |
NIC
1 - 1
LOR
45%
25%
30%
|
83 | 84 | 1 | 0 |