Ajaccio vs Lille analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
17.5%
Win probability
0.76
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.1%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.2%
3-0
0.7%
4-1
0.2%
5-2
<0%
+3
0.9%
2-0
2.7%
3-1
1.1%
4-2
0.2%
5-3
<0%
+2
4%
1-0
7%
2-1
4.4%
3-2
0.9%
4-3
0.1%
+1
12.4%
24.7%
Draw
0-0
9.2%
1-1
11.4%
2-2
3.5%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
24.7%
57.8%
Win probability
1.62
Expected goals
0-1
14.9%
1-2
9.2%
2-3
1.9%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
26.3%
0-2
12.1%
1-3
5%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
-2
17.9%
0-3
6.5%
1-4
2%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
8.8%
0-4
2.6%
1-5
0.7%
2-6
0.1%
-4
3.4%
0-5
0.9%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
1%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0%
-6
0.3%
0-7
0.1%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+10%
-5%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Ajaccio
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Feb. 2014 |
MPL
2 - 0
AJA
62%
23%
15%
|
71 | 83 | 12 | 0 |
| 16 Feb. 2014 |
LYO
3 - 1
AJA
72%
18%
10%
|
71 | 87 | 16 | 0 |
| 08 Feb. 2014 |
AJA
3 - 1
REN
21%
26%
53%
|
70 | 82 | 12 | +1 |
| 01 Feb. 2014 |
ETG
1 - 1
AJA
64%
21%
15%
|
70 | 78 | 8 | 0 |
| 25 Jan. 2014 |
AJA
1 - 1
SOC
36%
28%
36%
|
70 | 73 | 3 | 0 |
Matches
Lille
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Feb. 2014 |
LIL
0 - 0
LYO
44%
24%
32%
|
87 | 87 | 0 | 0 |
| 16 Feb. 2014 |
ETG
2 - 2
LIL
29%
26%
45%
|
87 | 78 | 9 | 0 |
| 11 Feb. 2014 |
LIL
3 - 3
CAE
73%
18%
10%
|
87 | 73 | 14 | 0 |
| 08 Feb. 2014 |
LIL
2 - 0
SOC
71%
18%
11%
|
87 | 74 | 13 | 0 |
| 02 Feb. 2014 |
NIC
1 - 0
LIL
32%
27%
41%
|
87 | 83 | 4 | 0 |