Aische vs Condruzien analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
69.4%
Win probability
2.63
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
<0%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.2%
7-0
0.4%
8-1
0.2%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.6%
6-0
1.1%
7-1
0.5%
8-2
0.1%
+6
1.6%
5-0
2.4%
6-1
1.2%
7-2
0.3%
8-3
<0%
+5
3.9%
4-0
4.6%
5-1
2.8%
6-2
0.7%
7-3
0.1%
+4
8.2%
3-0
7%
4-1
5.3%
5-2
1.6%
6-3
0.3%
7-4
<0%
+3
14.1%
2-0
8%
3-1
8%
4-2
3%
5-3
0.6%
6-4
0.1%
+2
19.6%
1-0
6.1%
2-1
9.1%
3-2
4.5%
4-3
1.1%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
21%
16.4%
Draw
0-0
2.3%
1-1
6.9%
2-2
5.2%
3-3
1.7%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
16.4%
14.2%
Win probability
1.14
Expected goals
0-1
2.6%
1-2
3.9%
2-3
2%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
9.1%
0-2
1.5%
1-3
1.5%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
3.7%
0-3
0.6%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.1%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Aische
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Apr. 2016 |
AIS
4 - 2
BEA
85%
10%
5%
|
30 | 15 | 15 | 0 |
| 24 Apr. 2016 |
ASS
4 - 1
AIS
35%
21%
44%
|
31 | 25 | 6 | -1 |
| 16 Apr. 2016 |
AIS
0 - 1
LIG
77%
14%
9%
|
32 | 21 | 11 | -1 |
| 10 Apr. 2016 |
AIS
2 - 0
WEP
62%
19%
19%
|
31 | 27 | 4 | +1 |
| 03 Apr. 2016 |
ROC
2 - 1
AIS
30%
21%
49%
|
32 | 24 | 8 | -1 |
Matches
Condruzien
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 May. 2016 |
CON
3 - 3
BIE
59%
19%
23%
|
19 | 16 | 3 | 0 |
| 24 Apr. 2016 |
ONH
3 - 1
CON
81%
12%
7%
|
19 | 33 | 14 | 0 |
| 17 Apr. 2016 |
CON
0 - 1
MEU
42%
23%
36%
|
20 | 23 | 3 | -1 |
| 10 Apr. 2016 |
PRO
4 - 1
CON
51%
21%
28%
|
21 | 23 | 2 | -1 |
| 03 Apr. 2016 |
CON
2 - 4
WEP
37%
22%
40%
|
22 | 26 | 4 | -1 |