Airdrieonians vs Falkirk analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
65.7%
Win probability
1.94
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.5%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.6%
5-0
1.6%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
<0%
+5
2%
4-0
4%
5-1
1.2%
6-2
0.1%
+4
5.3%
3-0
8.3%
4-1
3%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
11.8%
2-0
12.9%
3-1
6.2%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
20.3%
1-0
13.3%
2-1
9.5%
3-2
2.3%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.4%
20.9%
Draw
0-0
6.9%
1-1
9.9%
2-2
3.5%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
20.9%
13.4%
Win probability
0.74
Expected goals
0-1
5.1%
1-2
3.6%
2-3
0.9%
3-4
0.1%
-1
9.7%
0-2
1.9%
1-3
0.9%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
3%
0-3
0.5%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.7%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+23%
+20%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
4º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
57
1º
8º
3º
64
2º
9º
2º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
2º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
79 | 79 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
|
2º
|
64 | 65 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
|
4º
|
57 | 58 |
3º
|
47.5% | |
|
3º
|
58 | 58 |
4º
|
47.5% | |
|
5º
|
51 | 52 |
5º
|
41.5% | |
|
6º
|
51 | 52 |
6º
|
34% | |
|
7º
|
48 | 51 |
7º
|
63.5% | |
|
8º
|
40 | 41 |
8º
|
100% | |
|
9º
|
21 | 21 |
9º
|
100% | |
|
10º
|
16 | 17 |
10º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
0% | 0% |
|
Promotion play-offs
|
100% | 100% |
|
Mid-table
|
0% | 0% |
|
Relegation play-offs
|
0% | 0% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Airdrieonians
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Jul. 2022 |
PET
0 - 2
AIR
17%
25%
59%
|
61 | 46 | 15 | 0 |
| 23 Jul. 2022 |
ARB
3 - 0
AIR
51%
24%
25%
|
62 | 66 | 4 | -1 |
| 19 Jul. 2022 |
AIR
2 - 0
STM
30%
25%
45%
|
61 | 70 | 9 | +1 |
| 12 Jul. 2022 |
AIR
1 - 1
EDI
70%
18%
12%
|
61 | 51 | 10 | 0 |
| 09 Jul. 2022 |
CWB
0 - 3
AIR
10%
19%
71%
|
61 | 41 | 20 | 0 |
Matches
Falkirk
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Jul. 2022 |
FAL
0 - 0
MON
34%
26%
40%
|
51 | 55 | 4 | 0 |
| 23 Jul. 2022 |
FAL
1 - 0
CLY
56%
23%
21%
|
51 | 47 | 4 | 0 |
| 20 Jul. 2022 |
BRA
1 - 1
FAL
59%
21%
20%
|
51 | 54 | 3 | 0 |
| 12 Jul. 2022 |
FAL
1 - 0
HIB
10%
19%
72%
|
49 | 77 | 28 | +2 |
| 09 Jul. 2022 |
GRE
0 - 0
FAL
60%
22%
18%
|
49 | 57 | 8 | 0 |