Airdrieonians vs Dunfermline Athletic FC analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
39.4%
Win probability
1.33
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.3%
4-0
1%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.4%
3-0
3.1%
4-1
1.3%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.6%
2-0
6.9%
3-1
3.8%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
11.5%
1-0
10.4%
2-1
8.4%
3-2
2.3%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
21.4%
26.6%
Draw
0-0
7.8%
1-1
12.7%
2-2
5.1%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.6%
34%
Win probability
1.22
Expected goals
0-1
9.5%
1-2
7.7%
2-3
2.1%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
19.6%
0-2
5.8%
1-3
3.1%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
9.6%
0-3
2.4%
1-4
1%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
3.5%
0-4
0.7%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+16%
-8%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
4º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
57
1º
8º
3º
79
1º
4º
1º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
1º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
|
1º
|
79 | 79 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
64 | 65 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
|
4º
|
57 | 58 |
3º
|
47.5% | |
|
3º
|
58 | 58 |
4º
|
47.5% | |
|
5º
|
51 | 52 |
5º
|
41.5% | |
|
6º
|
51 | 52 |
6º
|
34% | |
|
7º
|
48 | 51 |
7º
|
63.5% | |
|
8º
|
40 | 41 |
8º
|
100% | |
|
9º
|
21 | 21 |
9º
|
100% | |
|
10º
|
16 | 17 |
10º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
0% | 100% |
|
Promotion play-offs
|
100% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
0% | 0% |
|
Relegation play-offs
|
0% | 0% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Airdrieonians
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Feb. 2023 |
AIR
1 - 0
CLY
79%
14%
7%
|
56 | 38 | 18 | 0 |
| 28 Jan. 2023 |
AIR
4 - 0
ALL
52%
23%
25%
|
55 | 53 | 2 | +1 |
| 14 Jan. 2023 |
KHE
1 - 1
AIR
36%
26%
38%
|
55 | 52 | 3 | 0 |
| 07 Jan. 2023 |
PET
0 - 3
AIR
10%
19%
71%
|
55 | 36 | 19 | 0 |
| 02 Jan. 2023 |
AIR
3 - 5
EDI
60%
22%
18%
|
56 | 50 | 6 | -1 |
Matches
Dunfermline Athletic FC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Feb. 2023 |
DUN
2 - 0
MON
60%
23%
17%
|
60 | 52 | 8 | 0 |
| 28 Jan. 2023 |
CLY
1 - 1
DUN
17%
23%
60%
|
60 | 38 | 22 | 0 |
| 24 Jan. 2023 |
DUN
4 - 2
DUN
60%
21%
19%
|
61 | 66 | 5 | -1 |
| 21 Jan. 2023 |
PAR
1 - 1
DUN
41%
24%
35%
|
61 | 58 | 3 | 0 |
| 14 Jan. 2023 |
DUN
4 - 0
PET
76%
16%
7%
|
61 | 35 | 26 | 0 |