Airdrieonians vs Dumbarton analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
54.6%
Win probability
1.9
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.4%
5-0
1%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.4%
4-0
2.5%
5-1
1.1%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.9%
3-0
5.4%
4-1
2.9%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
9%
2-0
8.5%
3-1
6.2%
4-2
1.7%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
16.7%
1-0
8.9%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
3.6%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.1%
22.4%
Draw
0-0
4.7%
1-1
10.4%
2-2
5.7%
3-3
1.4%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
22.4%
23.1%
Win probability
1.16
Expected goals
0-1
5.5%
1-2
6%
2-3
2.2%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
14.1%
0-2
3.2%
1-3
2.3%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
6.2%
0-3
1.2%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
2.1%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Airdrieonians
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Nov. 2018 |
AIR
4 - 2
EAS
45%
26%
29%
|
52 | 54 | 2 | 0 |
| 10 Nov. 2018 |
STR
1 - 2
AIR
43%
24%
33%
|
51 | 49 | 2 | +1 |
| 03 Nov. 2018 |
AIR
0 - 1
FOR
52%
24%
24%
|
52 | 49 | 3 | -1 |
| 27 Oct. 2018 |
AIR
0 - 1
STE
63%
21%
16%
|
53 | 46 | 7 | -1 |
| 20 Oct. 2018 |
MON
0 - 3
AIR
49%
24%
27%
|
51 | 54 | 3 | +2 |
Matches
Dumbarton
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Nov. 2018 |
FOR
3 - 0
DUM
49%
24%
27%
|
49 | 49 | 0 | 0 |
| 10 Nov. 2018 |
DUM
2 - 1
STE
59%
22%
20%
|
48 | 46 | 2 | +1 |
| 03 Nov. 2018 |
MON
1 - 0
DUM
53%
24%
23%
|
49 | 53 | 4 | -1 |
| 27 Oct. 2018 |
DUM
4 - 0
EAS
34%
27%
38%
|
47 | 55 | 8 | +2 |
| 20 Oct. 2018 |
ARB
3 - 1
DUM
71%
18%
11%
|
48 | 61 | 13 | -1 |