Airbus UK vs Newtown analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
55.3%
Win probability
1.85
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.4%
5-0
1%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.3%
4-0
2.6%
5-1
1%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.8%
3-0
5.6%
4-1
2.8%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
9.1%
2-0
9.1%
3-1
6.1%
4-2
1.5%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
16.9%
1-0
9.8%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3.3%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.6%
22.7%
Draw
0-0
5.3%
1-1
10.6%
2-2
5.4%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
22.7%
22%
Win probability
1.09
Expected goals
0-1
5.7%
1-2
5.8%
2-3
1.9%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
13.8%
0-2
3.1%
1-3
2.1%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
5.8%
0-3
1.1%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.8%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+82%
-12%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Airbus UK
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Apr. 2015 |
AIR
1 - 0
TNS
37%
25%
37%
|
62 | 67 | 5 | 0 |
| 11 Apr. 2015 |
POR
1 - 0
AIR
33%
27%
40%
|
61 | 54 | 7 | +1 |
| 05 Apr. 2015 |
TNS
4 - 2
AIR
58%
22%
21%
|
63 | 66 | 3 | -2 |
| 29 Mar. 2015 |
ABE
1 - 3
AIR
47%
25%
28%
|
63 | 59 | 4 | 0 |
| 22 Mar. 2015 |
BAL
3 - 0
AIR
48%
25%
27%
|
65 | 63 | 2 | -2 |
Matches
Newtown
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Apr. 2015 |
NEW
1 - 3
POR
49%
24%
27%
|
58 | 56 | 2 | 0 |
| 11 Apr. 2015 |
BAL
1 - 2
NEW
62%
21%
18%
|
56 | 64 | 8 | +2 |
| 04 Apr. 2015 |
NEW
2 - 1
RHY
46%
24%
30%
|
56 | 55 | 1 | 0 |
| 27 Mar. 2015 |
TNS
4 - 2
NEW
68%
19%
14%
|
56 | 67 | 11 | 0 |
| 21 Mar. 2015 |
NEW
3 - 3
ABE
37%
25%
38%
|
56 | 60 | 4 | 0 |