Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
79.5%
Win probability
3.39
Expected goals
11-0
<0%
+11
<0%
10-0
0.1%
11-1
<0%
+10
0.1%
9-0
0.2%
10-1
0.1%
11-2
<0%
+9
0.3%
8-0
0.5%
9-1
0.2%
10-2
<0%
+8
0.7%
7-0
1.1%
8-1
0.5%
9-2
0.1%
10-3
<0%
+7
1.7%
6-0
2.2%
7-1
1.2%
8-2
0.3%
9-3
<0%
+6
3.8%
5-0
4%
6-1
2.6%
7-2
0.7%
8-3
0.1%
9-4
<0%
+5
7.4%
4-0
5.9%
5-1
4.6%
6-2
1.5%
7-3
0.3%
8-4
<0%
+4
12.2%
3-0
6.9%
4-1
6.7%
5-2
2.6%
6-3
0.6%
7-4
0.1%
+3
16.9%
2-0
6.1%
3-1
8%
4-2
3.9%
5-3
1%
6-4
0.2%
7-5
<0%
+2
19.2%
1-0
3.6%
2-1
7.1%
3-2
4.6%
4-3
1.5%
5-4
0.3%
6-5
<0%
+1
17.1%
11.6%
Draw
0-0
1.1%
1-1
4.2%
2-2
4.1%
3-3
1.8%
4-4
0.4%
5-5
0.1%
0
11.6%
8.9%
Win probability
1.15
Expected goals
0-1
1.2%
1-2
2.4%
2-3
1.6%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
5-6
0%
-1
5.8%
0-2
0.7%
1-3
0.9%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
2.2%
0-3
0.3%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
0.7%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Airbus UK
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Aug. 2022 |
HAV
3 - 0
AIR
40%
28%
32%
|
56 | 48 | -8 | 0 |
| 19 Aug. 2022 |
CON
1 - 0
AIR
44%
27%
28%
|
56 | 56 | 0 | 0 |
| 12 Aug. 2022 |
AIR
1 - 2
ABE
44%
27%
28%
|
56 | 56 | 0 | 0 |
| 07 Aug. 2022 |
GRE
2 - 1
AIR
39%
28%
33%
|
52 | 34 | -18 | +4 |
| 23 Apr. 2022 |
GUI
0 - 0
AIR
41%
27%
32%
|
52 | 44 | -8 | 0 |
Matches
Flint Town United
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Aug. 2022 |
PEN
2 - 1
FLI
44%
27%
28%
|
50 | 49 | -1 | -1 |
| 19 Aug. 2022 |
NEW
0 - 2
FLI
47%
27%
26%
|
49 | 51 | 2 | +1 |
| 13 Aug. 2022 |
PON
0 - 1
FLI
45%
27%
28%
|
49 | 46 | -3 | 0 |
| 09 Aug. 2022 |
COL
1 - 1
FLI
40%
28%
32%
|
49 | 38 | -11 | 0 |
| 23 Jul. 2022 |
COL
3 - 1
FLI
39%
28%
33%
|
51 | 36 | -15 | -2 |