Air Bel Sub 19 vs Olympique Marseille U19 analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
49.6%
Win probability
1.98
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.4%
5-0
0.8%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.3%
4-0
2%
5-1
1.2%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.5%
3-0
4.1%
4-1
3%
5-2
0.9%
6-3
0.1%
7-4
<0%
+3
8.1%
2-0
6.3%
3-1
6%
4-2
2.2%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
0.1%
+2
15%
1-0
6.3%
2-1
9.2%
3-2
4.4%
4-3
1.1%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
21.2%
21.8%
Draw
0-0
3.2%
1-1
9.3%
2-2
6.7%
3-3
2.2%
4-4
0.4%
5-5
<0%
0
21.8%
28.6%
Win probability
1.46
Expected goals
0-1
4.7%
1-2
6.8%
2-3
3.3%
3-4
0.8%
4-5
0.1%
5-6
0%
-1
15.7%
0-2
3.4%
1-3
3.3%
2-4
1.2%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
8.2%
0-3
1.7%
1-4
1.2%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0.1%
-3
3.3%
0-4
0.6%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
1.1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-7%
+17%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
9º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
33
7º
14º
10º
47
1º
6º
2º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
2º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
48 | 51 |
1º
|
84% | |
|
|
2º
|
47 | 48 |
2º
|
84% | |
|
4º
|
41 | 44 |
3º
|
54.5% | |
|
3º
|
43 | 43 |
4º
|
54.5% | |
|
6º
|
37 | 40 |
5º
|
80% | |
|
5º
|
38 | 38 |
6º
|
80% | |
|
8º
|
34 | 35 |
7º
|
42% | |
|
7º
|
34 | 34 |
8º
|
34.5% | |
|
10º
|
33 | 34 |
9º
|
25.5% | |
|
|
9º
|
33 | 33 |
10º
|
42.5% | |
|
11º
|
31 | 32 |
11º
|
55% | |
|
12º
|
30 | 30 |
12º
|
77% | |
|
13º
|
28 | 28 |
13º
|
77% | |
|
14º
|
11 | 11 |
14º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
0% | 16% |
|
Mid-table
|
100% | 84% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Air Bel Sub 19
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Nov. 2022 |
BLA
0 - 0
ABE
13%
17%
70%
|
25 | 14 | 11 | 0 |
| 06 Nov. 2022 |
ABE
2 - 1
IST
64%
19%
18%
|
24 | 20 | 4 | +1 |
| 23 Oct. 2022 |
TOU
1 - 0
ABE
66%
17%
17%
|
25 | 32 | 7 | -1 |
| 15 Oct. 2022 |
ABE
1 - 0
NIC
32%
22%
47%
|
24 | 29 | 5 | +1 |
| 09 Oct. 2022 |
ETI
1 - 2
ABE
77%
14%
9%
|
23 | 36 | 13 | +1 |
Matches
Olympique Marseille U19
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Nov. 2022 |
OLY
3 - 0
CAN
60%
20%
20%
|
24 | 22 | 2 | 0 |
| 06 Nov. 2022 |
COL
2 - 1
OLY
41%
25%
34%
|
24 | 24 | 0 | 0 |
| 01 Nov. 2022 |
OLY
2 - 3
TOT
39%
22%
39%
|
25 | 30 | 5 | -1 |
| 26 Oct. 2022 |
FRA
2 - 0
OLY
50%
24%
26%
|
26 | 28 | 2 | -1 |
| 22 Oct. 2022 |
OLY
2 - 1
BAS
71%
16%
13%
|
26 | 19 | 7 | 0 |