Aïn M'lila vs USM Bel Abbès analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
32.4%
Win probability
0.88
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.4%
5-1
0.1%
+4
0.5%
3-0
1.9%
4-1
0.4%
5-2
<0%
+3
2.3%
2-0
6.4%
3-1
1.7%
4-2
0.2%
+2
8.3%
1-0
14.4%
2-1
5.9%
3-2
0.8%
4-3
0.1%
+1
21.2%
32.7%
Draw
0-0
16.3%
1-1
13.4%
2-2
2.7%
3-3
0.3%
4-4
<0%
0
32.7%
34.8%
Win probability
0.93
Expected goals
0-1
15.2%
1-2
6.2%
2-3
0.9%
3-4
0.1%
-1
22.3%
0-2
7%
1-3
1.9%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
9.2%
0-3
2.2%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0%
-3
2.7%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.6%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Aïn M'lila
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Nov. 2018 |
PAR
3 - 0
AML
58%
24%
18%
|
62 | 68 | 6 | 0 |
| 06 Nov. 2018 |
DTA
0 - 0
AML
47%
27%
26%
|
61 | 64 | 3 | +1 |
| 20 Oct. 2018 |
MOB
0 - 0
AML
46%
28%
26%
|
62 | 67 | 5 | -1 |
| 09 Oct. 2018 |
AML
0 - 0
SAO
22%
32%
46%
|
61 | 75 | 14 | +1 |
| 05 Oct. 2018 |
BBA
2 - 0
AML
35%
28%
37%
|
63 | 59 | 4 | -2 |
Matches
USM Bel Abbès
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Nov. 2018 |
ALG
0 - 1
USM
58%
24%
18%
|
69 | 73 | 4 | 0 |
| 06 Nov. 2018 |
USM
1 - 1
PAR
46%
27%
27%
|
70 | 68 | 2 | -1 |
| 01 Nov. 2018 |
CON
0 - 1
USM
52%
25%
23%
|
69 | 73 | 4 | +1 |
| 23 Oct. 2018 |
DTA
0 - 0
USM
40%
29%
32%
|
69 | 65 | 4 | 0 |
| 19 Oct. 2018 |
USM
2 - 2
USM
32%
29%
40%
|
69 | 76 | 7 | 0 |