Aiglon vs Samaritaine analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
62.4%
Win probability
2.03
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.5%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.6%
5-0
1.5%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2%
4-0
3.6%
5-1
1.4%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
5.2%
3-0
7.1%
4-1
3.4%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
11.2%
2-0
10.4%
3-1
6.7%
4-2
1.6%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
19%
1-0
10.3%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3.2%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
24%
20.7%
Draw
0-0
5.1%
1-1
9.8%
2-2
4.7%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
20.7%
16.9%
Win probability
0.95
Expected goals
0-1
4.8%
1-2
4.7%
2-3
1.5%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
11.2%
0-2
2.3%
1-3
1.5%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
4.2%
0-3
0.7%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.1%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Aiglon
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Nov. 2019 |
CLU
0 - 1
AIG
30%
26%
44%
|
41 | 35 | 6 | 0 |
| 23 Nov. 2019 |
RSP
0 - 1
AIG
22%
21%
58%
|
41 | 28 | 13 | 0 |
| 09 Nov. 2019 |
AIG
2 - 2
USR
71%
18%
11%
|
41 | 34 | 7 | 0 |
| 26 Oct. 2019 |
NSD
2 - 1
AIG
17%
21%
62%
|
42 | 27 | 15 | -1 |
| 19 Oct. 2019 |
AIG
1 - 1
GOL
23%
22%
55%
|
42 | 50 | 8 | 0 |
Matches
Samaritaine
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Dec. 2019 |
SAM
2 - 1
USR
51%
24%
24%
|
37 | 33 | 4 | 0 |
| 23 Nov. 2019 |
NSD
0 - 1
SAM
28%
24%
48%
|
36 | 29 | 7 | +1 |
| 06 Nov. 2019 |
SAM
1 - 0
GOL
9%
17%
74%
|
35 | 50 | 15 | +1 |
| 27 Oct. 2019 |
RCR
1 - 0
SAM
36%
24%
40%
|
36 | 33 | 3 | -1 |
| 20 Oct. 2019 |
SAM
1 - 0
TRE
33%
26%
41%
|
35 | 38 | 3 | +1 |