Aiglon vs Good Luck analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
76.6%
Win probability
2.66
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.2%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.2%
7-0
0.6%
8-1
0.2%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.8%
6-0
1.5%
7-1
0.5%
8-2
0.1%
+6
2.1%
5-0
3.5%
6-1
1.2%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
4.9%
4-0
6.5%
5-1
2.8%
6-2
0.5%
7-3
0.1%
+4
9.9%
3-0
9.8%
4-1
5.3%
5-2
1.1%
6-3
0.1%
7-4
<0%
+3
16.3%
2-0
11%
3-1
7.9%
4-2
2.1%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
21.4%
1-0
8.3%
2-1
8.9%
3-2
3.2%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
21%
14.4%
Draw
0-0
3.1%
1-1
6.7%
2-2
3.6%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
14.4%
8.9%
Win probability
0.81
Expected goals
0-1
2.5%
1-2
2.7%
2-3
1%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
6.4%
0-2
1%
1-3
0.7%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
2%
0-3
0.3%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.5%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-23%
-38%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
4º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
26
3º
10º
4º
5
8º
16º
16º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
16º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
37 | 37 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
31 | 31 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
27 | 27 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
|
4º
|
26 | 26 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
5º
|
25 | 25 |
5º
|
0% | |
|
6º
|
25 | 25 |
6º
|
0% | |
|
7º
|
23 | 23 |
7º
|
100% | |
|
8º
|
21 | 21 |
8º
|
100% | |
|
9º
|
20 | 20 |
9º
|
100% | |
|
10º
|
17 | 17 |
10º
|
100% | |
|
11º
|
17 | 17 |
11º
|
100% | |
|
12º
|
15 | 15 |
12º
|
100% | |
|
13º
|
11 | 11 |
13º
|
100% | |
|
14º
|
10 | 10 |
14º
|
100% | |
|
15º
|
6 | 6 |
15º
|
100% | |
|
|
16º
|
5 | 5 |
16º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Play-offs for the title
|
0% | 0% |
|
Relegation play-offs
|
100% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
0% | 100% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Aiglon
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Jan. 2023 |
GOL
2 - 1
AIG
55%
21%
24%
|
29 | 28 | 1 | 0 |
| 17 Dec. 2022 |
AIG
1 - 0
USD
53%
22%
25%
|
29 | 29 | 0 | 0 |
| 04 Dec. 2022 |
TRE
0 - 2
AIG
37%
23%
40%
|
29 | 25 | 4 | 0 |
| 26 Nov. 2022 |
GOL
1 - 2
AIG
36%
24%
40%
|
29 | 24 | 5 | 0 |
| 19 Nov. 2022 |
AMI
10 - 0
AIG
83%
14%
4%
|
30 | 65 | 35 | -1 |
Matches
Good Luck
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Jan. 2023 |
GOO
0 - 4
USD
25%
24%
51%
|
19 | 28 | 9 | 0 |
| 10 Dec. 2022 |
CPE
2 - 1
GOO
76%
14%
10%
|
19 | 28 | 9 | 0 |
| 03 Dec. 2022 |
GOO
0 - 4
GOL
41%
25%
34%
|
20 | 24 | 4 | -1 |
| 27 Nov. 2022 |
GOO
2 - 9
GOL
20%
20%
60%
|
22 | 29 | 7 | -2 |
| 19 Nov. 2022 |
CAS
5 - 2
GOO
62%
20%
18%
|
22 | 28 | 6 | 0 |