Oberliga Rheinland-Pfalz/Saar. Jor. 7

Ahrweiler vs Karbach analysis

Ahrweiler Karbach
14 ELO 22
-1.5% Tilt -3.2%
10312º General ELO ranking 8396º
581º Country ELO ranking 373º
ELO win probability
19%
Ahrweiler
19.7%
Draw
61.2%
Karbach

Possible results

Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
19%
Win probability
Ahrweiler
1.17
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.3%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.4%
3-0
0.9%
4-1
0.6%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
1.6%
2-0
2.3%
3-1
2%
4-2
0.6%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
5.1%
1-0
3.9%
2-1
5.1%
3-2
2.2%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
11.8%
19.7%
Draw
0-0
3.4%
1-1
8.7%
2-2
5.7%
3-3
1.6%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
19.7%
61.2%
Win probability
Karbach
2.22
Expected goals
0-1
7.5%
1-2
9.7%
2-3
4.2%
3-4
0.9%
4-5
0.1%
5-6
0%
-1
22.5%
0-2
8.3%
1-3
7.2%
2-4
2.3%
3-5
0.4%
4-6
0%
-2
18.3%
0-3
6.2%
1-4
4%
2-5
1%
3-6
0.1%
4-7
0%
-3
11.4%
0-4
3.4%
1-5
1.8%
2-6
0.4%
3-7
0%
-4
5.6%
0-5
1.5%
1-6
0.7%
2-7
0.1%
3-8
0%
-5
2.3%
0-6
0.6%
1-7
0.2%
2-8
0%
-6
0.8%
0-7
0.2%
1-8
0.1%
-7
0.2%
0-8
0%
1-9
0%
-8
0.1%
0-9
0%
-9
<0%

ELO Graph/Inclination

← Defensive Tilt Attacking →
Ahrweiler
+73%
-36%
Karbach

Points and table prediction

Ahrweiler
Their league position
Karbach
CURR.POS.
18º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
16
14º
20º
18º
28
16º
11º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
11º
Current table Final expectations
RK PTS. PTS. RK PROB
Schott Mainz
46
46
0%
TuS Koblenz
46
46
0%
Engers 07
44
44
100%
Gonsenheim
41
41
100%
FK Pirmasens
40
40
100%
Kaiserslautern II
39
39
100%
Mechtersheim
39
39
100%
Diefflen
36
36
100%
Auersmacher
34
34
0%
Arminia Ludwigshafen
10º
34
34
10º
0%
Karbach
11º
28
28
11º
100%
Pfeddersheim
12º
23
23
12º
100%
Morlautern
13º
21
21
13º
100%
FSV Jägersburg
14º
20
20
14º
100%
Hertha Wiesbach
15º
19
19
15º
100%
Dudenhofen
16º
18
18
16º
100%
17º
17
17
17º
100%
Ahrweiler
18º
16
16
18º
100%
Alemannia Waldalgesheim
20º
16
16
19º
100%
Mülheim-Kärlich
19º
16
16
20º
100%
Sportfreunde Eisbachtal
21º
15
15
21º
100%
SV 07 Elversberg II
22º
9
9
22º
100%
Expected probabilities
Ahrweiler
Karbach
Promotion play-offs
0% 0%
Relegation play-offs
0% 100%
Mid-table
100% 0%

ELO progression

Ahrweiler
Karbach
Next opponents in ELO points

Matches

Ahrweiler
Ahrweiler
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
03 Sep. 2022
EIS
Sportfreunde Eisbachtal
0 - 1
Ahrweiler
ABC
86%
9%
5%
13 22 9 0
27 Aug. 2022
ABC
Ahrweiler
0 - 3
Schott Mainz
SMA
7%
13%
81%
14 34 20 -1
12 Aug. 2022
AWA
Alemannia Waldalgesheim
1 - 1
Ahrweiler
ABC
79%
13%
8%
14 22 8 0
05 Aug. 2022
ABC
Ahrweiler
2 - 2
Mülheim-Kärlich
SGM
18%
20%
63%
13 22 9 +1
30 Jul. 2022
ABC
Ahrweiler
0 - 3
TuS Koblenz
TUS
19%
20%
62%
14 23 9 -1

Matches

Karbach
Karbach
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
03 Sep. 2022
KAR
Karbach
5 - 1
Alemannia Waldalgesheim
AWA
40%
22%
38%
20 22 2 0
26 Aug. 2022
SGM
Mülheim-Kärlich
4 - 1
Karbach
KAR
43%
22%
35%
22 20 2 -2
21 Aug. 2022
KAR
Karbach
1 - 1
TuS Koblenz
TUS
43%
23%
34%
22 25 3 0
14 Aug. 2022
GON
Gonsenheim
2 - 2
Karbach
KAR
66%
18%
16%
21 26 5 +1
06 Aug. 2022
KAR
Karbach
2 - 2
Engers 07
ENG
35%
24%
41%
21 27 6 0
X