AHFC Royals vs Houston Sur analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
86.3%
Win probability
3.22
Expected goals
10-0
0.1%
+10
0.1%
9-0
0.2%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.3%
8-0
0.6%
9-1
0.1%
10-2
<0%
+8
0.8%
7-0
1.5%
8-1
0.4%
9-2
<0%
+7
1.9%
6-0
3.2%
7-1
1%
8-2
0.1%
+6
4.3%
5-0
6.1%
6-1
2.1%
7-2
0.3%
8-3
<0%
+5
8.5%
4-0
9.4%
5-1
3.9%
6-2
0.7%
7-3
0.1%
+4
14%
3-0
11.7%
4-1
6%
5-2
1.2%
6-3
0.1%
7-4
<0%
+3
19.1%
2-0
10.9%
3-1
7.5%
4-2
1.9%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
20.7%
1-0
6.8%
2-1
7%
3-2
2.4%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
16.7%
9.3%
Draw
0-0
2.1%
1-1
4.4%
2-2
2.2%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
0.1%
0
9.3%
4.3%
Win probability
0.64
Expected goals
0-1
1.4%
1-2
1.4%
2-3
0.5%
3-4
0.1%
-1
3.3%
0-2
0.4%
1-3
0.3%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
0.8%
0-3
0.1%
1-4
0%
-3
0.1%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
AHFC Royals
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Jun. 2022 |
RRO
0 - 0
AHF
49%
22%
29%
|
27 | 28 | 1 | 0 |
| 20 Jun. 2022 |
AHF
5 - 1
RRO
35%
22%
43%
|
25 | 31 | 6 | +2 |
| 16 Jun. 2022 |
HFC
4 - 2
AHF
28%
22%
51%
|
27 | 20 | 7 | -2 |
| 12 Jun. 2022 |
BVC
2 - 1
AHF
60%
19%
21%
|
27 | 30 | 3 | 0 |
| 05 Jun. 2022 |
CCF
0 - 4
AHF
63%
18%
19%
|
26 | 30 | 4 | +1 |
Matches
Houston Sur
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Jun. 2022 |
HFC
1 - 0
ACH
78%
13%
8%
|
14 | 22 | 8 | 0 |
| 19 Jun. 2022 |
ACH
0 - 1
CCF
11%
16%
74%
|
15 | 30 | 15 | -1 |
| 05 Jun. 2022 |
ACH
1 - 3
BVC
11%
16%
73%
|
15 | 29 | 14 | 0 |
| 02 Jun. 2022 |
HFC
1 - 0
ACH
70%
17%
14%
|
16 | 20 | 4 | -1 |
| 29 May. 2022 |
ACH
0 - 3
BVC
15%
18%
68%
|
16 | 28 | 12 | 0 |