Ahal FT vs Istiklol Dushanbe analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
79.2%
Win probability
2.64
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.2%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.3%
7-0
0.6%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.8%
6-0
1.7%
7-1
0.4%
8-2
<0%
+6
2.2%
5-0
3.9%
6-1
1.1%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
5.2%
4-0
7.3%
5-1
2.6%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
<0%
+4
10.4%
3-0
11.2%
4-1
4.9%
5-2
0.9%
6-3
0.1%
+3
17.1%
2-0
12.7%
3-1
7.5%
4-2
1.7%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
22.1%
1-0
9.6%
2-1
8.5%
3-2
2.5%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
21.1%
13.7%
Draw
0-0
3.7%
1-1
6.5%
2-2
2.9%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
13.7%
7.2%
Win probability
0.67
Expected goals
0-1
2.5%
1-2
2.2%
2-3
0.6%
3-4
0.1%
-1
5.4%
0-2
0.8%
1-3
0.5%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
1.4%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.3%
0-4
0%
1-5
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-18%
+46%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Ahal FT
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Mar. 2015 |
AHA
6 - 0
EFT
54%
23%
23%
|
52 | 52 | 0 | 0 |
| 25 Feb. 2015 |
ALQ
2 - 0
AHA
61%
21%
18%
|
53 | 59 | 6 | -1 |
| 17 Feb. 2015 |
FNJ
2 - 3
AHA
27%
25%
48%
|
53 | 41 | 12 | 0 |
| 09 Feb. 2015 |
AHA
1 - 0
DBI
78%
14%
8%
|
53 | 28 | 25 | 0 |
| 29 Nov. 2014 |
AGA
0 - 0
AHA
49%
25%
27%
|
52 | 52 | 0 | +1 |
Matches
Istiklol Dushanbe
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Feb. 2015 |
IST
1 - 3
ARB
14%
20%
66%
|
30 | 66 | 36 | 0 |
| 16 Nov. 2014 |
REG
1 - 2
IST
56%
21%
23%
|
29 | 29 | 0 | +1 |
| 12 Nov. 2014 |
IST
1 - 1
IST
66%
17%
17%
|
29 | 29 | 0 | 0 |
| 01 Nov. 2014 |
ENE
0 - 3
IST
40%
24%
37%
|
29 | 27 | 2 | 0 |
| 29 Oct. 2014 |
IST
4 - 0
CSK
69%
18%
13%
|
29 | 29 | 0 | 0 |