Altos Hornos Zapla vs Monterrico San Vicente analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
45.3%
Win probability
1.4
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.5%
4-0
1.4%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.9%
3-0
4%
4-1
1.4%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
5.7%
2-0
8.6%
3-1
4.1%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
0.1%
+2
13.6%
1-0
12.3%
2-1
8.9%
3-2
2.1%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.6%
26.9%
Draw
0-0
8.8%
1-1
12.7%
2-2
4.6%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.9%
27.8%
Win probability
1.03
Expected goals
0-1
9.1%
1-2
6.6%
2-3
1.6%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
17.4%
0-2
4.7%
1-3
2.3%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
7.4%
0-3
1.6%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.1%
-3
2.3%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.6%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-8%
-33%
Points and table prediction
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| PK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
º
|
28 | 28 |
1º
|
0% | |
|
|
º
|
27 | 27 |
2º
|
0% | |
|
º
|
25 | 25 |
3º
|
0% | |
|
º
|
20 | 20 |
4º
|
0% | |
|
|
º
|
19 | 19 |
5º
|
0% | |
|
º
|
16 | 16 |
6º
|
0% | |
|
º
|
11 | 11 |
7º
|
0% | |
|
º
|
11 | 11 |
8º
|
0% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
| Mid-table | 100% | 100% |
ELO progression
AHZ
MON
CAM
HER
MIT
TIR
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Altos Hornos Zapla
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO AHZ | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Feb. 2014 |
MIT
0 - 1
AHZ
45%
27%
28%
|
258 | 266 | 8 | +1 |
| 02 Feb. 2014 |
AHZ
3 - 0
HER
45%
27%
28%
|
256 | 256 | 0 | +2 |
| 07 Dec. 2013 |
RIO
1 - 1
AHZ
46%
27%
27%
|
256 | 251 | -5 | 0 |
| 01 Dec. 2013 |
AHZ
0 - 1
TAB
45%
27%
28%
|
258 | 256 | 2 | -1 |
| 17 Nov. 2013 |
TIR
1 - 1
AHZ
46%
27%
27%
|
258 | 252 | -6 | 0 |
Matches
Monterrico San Vicente
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO MON | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Feb. 2014 |
MON
1 - 1
RIO
45%
27%
28%
|
256 | 249 | 7 | 0 |
| 02 Feb. 2014 |
TAB
3 - 1
MON
45%
27%
28%
|
257 | 258 | 1 | -2 |
| 08 Dec. 2013 |
TIR
1 - 0
MON
46%
27%
27%
|
259 | 248 | -11 | -1 |
| 01 Dec. 2013 |
MON
1 - 2
CAM
45%
27%
28%
|
260 | 258 | 2 | -1 |
| 17 Nov. 2013 |
MON
1 - 1
MIT
45%
27%
28%
|
260 | 261 | -1 | 0 |