Águilas FC vs Racing Murcia analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
70.9%
Win probability
2.03
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.7%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.8%
5-0
2.1%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
<0%
+5
2.5%
4-0
5.1%
5-1
1.2%
6-2
0.1%
+4
6.4%
3-0
10%
4-1
3.1%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
13.5%
2-0
14.7%
3-1
6.1%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
21.8%
1-0
14.5%
2-1
9%
3-2
1.8%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.5%
19.1%
Draw
0-0
7.2%
1-1
8.8%
2-2
2.7%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
19.1%
10%
Win probability
0.61
Expected goals
0-1
4.3%
1-2
2.7%
2-3
0.5%
3-4
0.1%
-1
7.6%
0-2
1.3%
1-3
0.5%
2-4
0.1%
-2
1.9%
0-3
0.3%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.4%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-12%
-48%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
1º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
70
1º
2º
1º
52
2º
10º
5º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
5º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
|
1º
|
70 | 70 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
58 | 58 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
58 | 58 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
54 | 54 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
|
5º
|
52 | 52 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
6º
|
50 | 50 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
7º
|
44 | 44 |
7º
|
100% | |
|
8º
|
40 | 40 |
8º
|
100% | |
|
9º
|
39 | 39 |
9º
|
100% | |
|
10º
|
35 | 35 |
10º
|
100% | |
|
11º
|
34 | 34 |
11º
|
50% | |
|
12º
|
31 | 34 |
12º
|
50% | |
|
13º
|
30 | 30 |
13º
|
100% | |
|
14º
|
25 | 25 |
14º
|
100% | |
|
15º
|
21 | 21 |
15º
|
100% | |
|
16º
|
20 | 20 |
16º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
100% | 0% |
|
Promotion play-offs
|
0% | 100% |
|
Mid-table
|
0% | 0% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Águilas FC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Dec. 2022 |
AGU
3 - 1
CAR
74%
16%
10%
|
42 | 24 | 18 | 0 |
| 27 Nov. 2022 |
AGU
3 - 0
MIN
80%
14%
6%
|
42 | 20 | 22 | 0 |
| 20 Nov. 2022 |
IMP
0 - 1
AGU
22%
25%
53%
|
42 | 25 | 17 | 0 |
| 16 Nov. 2022 |
AGU
1 - 1
CAP
81%
13%
6%
|
42 | 21 | 21 | 0 |
| 06 Nov. 2022 |
MUL
0 - 5
AGU
14%
24%
63%
|
42 | 19 | 23 | 0 |
Matches
Racing Murcia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Dec. 2022 |
RMC
0 - 1
LOR
49%
24%
27%
|
31 | 29 | 2 | 0 |
| 26 Nov. 2022 |
MSM
1 - 2
RMC
29%
24%
46%
|
30 | 22 | 8 | +1 |
| 20 Nov. 2022 |
RMC
2 - 1
PUL
45%
25%
29%
|
30 | 30 | 0 | 0 |
| 14 Nov. 2022 |
EGP
2 - 5
RMC
29%
25%
47%
|
28 | 20 | 8 | +2 |
| 06 Nov. 2022 |
RMC
1 - 0
ALC
68%
20%
13%
|
28 | 20 | 8 | 0 |