Apertura Finals . Quarter-finals
Global 3-0
CD Águila vs L.A. Firpo analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
65.8%
Win probability
1.93
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.5%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.6%
5-0
1.6%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
<0%
+5
2%
4-0
4.1%
5-1
1.1%
6-2
0.1%
+4
5.3%
3-0
8.4%
4-1
3%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
11.8%
2-0
13%
3-1
6.1%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
20.3%
1-0
13.5%
2-1
9.5%
3-2
2.2%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.5%
20.9%
Draw
0-0
7%
1-1
9.8%
2-2
3.5%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
20.9%
13.3%
Win probability
0.73
Expected goals
0-1
5.1%
1-2
3.6%
2-3
0.8%
3-4
0.1%
-1
9.6%
0-2
1.9%
1-3
0.9%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
2.9%
0-3
0.5%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.6%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+15%
+5%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
CD Águila
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Jan. 2021 |
FIR
0 - 2
AGU
24%
26%
50%
|
65 | 53 | 12 | 0 |
| 09 Jan. 2021 |
ATL
0 - 3
AGU
26%
29%
45%
|
64 | 50 | 14 | +1 |
| 03 Jan. 2021 |
AGU
1 - 1
SFC
58%
24%
18%
|
64 | 53 | 11 | 0 |
| 27 Dec. 2020 |
ALI
1 - 2
AGU
70%
20%
10%
|
64 | 76 | 12 | 0 |
| 23 Dec. 2020 |
AGU
3 - 1
MET
49%
27%
24%
|
63 | 57 | 6 | +1 |
Matches
L.A. Firpo
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Jan. 2021 |
FIR
0 - 2
AGU
24%
26%
50%
|
53 | 65 | 12 | 0 |
| 09 Jan. 2021 |
FIR
0 - 3
SAN
37%
28%
35%
|
54 | 57 | 3 | -1 |
| 03 Jan. 2021 |
ONC
1 - 1
FIR
54%
26%
21%
|
53 | 58 | 5 | +1 |
| 27 Dec. 2020 |
CHA
1 - 2
FIR
48%
26%
26%
|
53 | 54 | 1 | 0 |
| 23 Dec. 2020 |
FIR
1 - 2
FAS
27%
28%
44%
|
53 | 63 | 10 | 0 |