Apertura Finals . Quarter-finals
Global 1-1
CD Águila vs FAS analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
44%
Win probability
1.48
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.5%
4-0
1.4%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.9%
3-0
3.8%
4-1
1.6%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
5.7%
2-0
7.6%
3-1
4.4%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
13.2%
1-0
10.4%
2-1
9%
3-2
2.6%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
22.4%
25.7%
Draw
0-0
7%
1-1
12.2%
2-2
5.3%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.7%
30.3%
Win probability
1.18
Expected goals
0-1
8.3%
1-2
7.2%
2-3
2.1%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
17.9%
0-2
4.9%
1-3
2.8%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
8.4%
0-3
1.9%
1-4
0.8%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
2.9%
0-4
0.6%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.8%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
CD Águila
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Nov. 2017 |
ALI
5 - 0
AGU
63%
23%
15%
|
61 | 69 | 8 | 0 |
| 19 Nov. 2017 |
AGU
2 - 1
MUN
51%
26%
22%
|
61 | 56 | 5 | 0 |
| 16 Nov. 2017 |
IND
2 - 2
AGU
42%
29%
29%
|
61 | 55 | 6 | 0 |
| 12 Nov. 2017 |
AGU
2 - 3
MET
44%
27%
30%
|
62 | 60 | 2 | -1 |
| 05 Nov. 2017 |
SAN
3 - 1
AGU
65%
21%
14%
|
62 | 69 | 7 | 0 |
Matches
FAS
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Nov. 2017 |
CDD
3 - 2
FAS
29%
29%
42%
|
60 | 52 | 8 | 0 |
| 23 Nov. 2017 |
SAN
1 - 0
FAS
68%
19%
14%
|
61 | 68 | 7 | -1 |
| 19 Nov. 2017 |
FAS
1 - 1
ALI
25%
26%
48%
|
61 | 69 | 8 | 0 |
| 16 Nov. 2017 |
FAS
1 - 1
PAS
50%
27%
23%
|
61 | 55 | 6 | 0 |
| 12 Nov. 2017 |
FIR
0 - 1
FAS
38%
28%
34%
|
60 | 54 | 6 | +1 |