Águias do Moradal vs Espinho analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
20.5%
Win probability
0.98
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.2%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.3%
3-0
1%
4-1
0.4%
5-2
0.1%
+3
1.5%
2-0
3%
3-1
1.8%
4-2
0.4%
5-3
<0%
+2
5.2%
1-0
6.1%
2-1
5.4%
3-2
1.6%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
13.3%
23.1%
Draw
0-0
6.2%
1-1
11%
2-2
4.8%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
23%
56.5%
Win probability
1.8
Expected goals
0-1
11.1%
1-2
9.8%
2-3
2.9%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
24.3%
0-2
10%
1-3
5.9%
2-4
1.3%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
17.4%
0-3
6%
1-4
2.7%
2-5
0.5%
3-6
0%
-3
9.2%
0-4
2.7%
1-5
1%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
3.8%
0-5
1%
1-6
0.3%
2-7
0%
-5
1.3%
0-6
0.3%
1-7
0.1%
-6
0.4%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Águias do Moradal
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Aug. 2013 |
ADM
1 - 0
CAR
58%
21%
21%
|
30 | 26 | 4 | 0 |
Matches
Espinho
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Aug. 2013 |
ESP
0 - 1
LUS
69%
19%
13%
|
48 | 37 | 11 | 0 |
| 28 Apr. 2013 |
ESP
0 - 1
SAO
75%
16%
9%
|
49 | 33 | 16 | -1 |
| 21 Apr. 2013 |
BEN
4 - 0
ESP
27%
25%
47%
|
50 | 39 | 11 | -1 |
| 14 Apr. 2013 |
ACV
3 - 0
ESP
51%
25%
24%
|
52 | 53 | 1 | -2 |
| 07 Apr. 2013 |
ESP
2 - 0
PAM
69%
19%
12%
|
51 | 41 | 10 | +1 |