Águia Negra vs Vitória analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
9.1%
Win probability
0.68
Expected goals
4-0
<0%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.1%
3-0
0.3%
4-1
0.1%
5-2
<0%
+3
0.4%
2-0
1.1%
3-1
0.6%
4-2
0.1%
5-3
<0%
+2
1.9%
1-0
3.4%
2-1
2.7%
3-2
0.7%
4-3
0.1%
+1
6.8%
16.5%
Draw
0-0
5%
1-1
7.8%
2-2
3.1%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
0.1%
0
16.5%
74.4%
Win probability
2.33
Expected goals
0-1
11.5%
1-2
9.1%
2-3
2.4%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
23.4%
0-2
13.4%
1-3
7.1%
2-4
1.4%
3-5
0.1%
-2
22%
0-3
10.4%
1-4
4.1%
2-5
0.6%
3-6
0.1%
-3
15.2%
0-4
6%
1-5
1.9%
2-6
0.3%
3-7
0%
-4
8.2%
0-5
2.8%
1-6
0.7%
2-7
0.1%
-5
3.6%
0-6
1.1%
1-7
0.2%
2-8
0%
-6
1.4%
0-7
0.4%
1-8
0.1%
-7
0.4%
0-8
0.1%
1-9
0%
-8
0.1%
0-9
0%
-9
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Águia Negra
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Mar. 2021 |
AGU
1 - 1
AQU
55%
22%
23%
|
44 | 39 | 5 | 0 |
| 28 Feb. 2021 |
AGU
1 - 1
NOV
61%
20%
19%
|
44 | 35 | 9 | 0 |
| 20 Jan. 2021 |
SIN
4 - 0
AGU
16%
21%
63%
|
46 | 30 | 16 | -2 |
| 24 Dec. 2020 |
AQU
0 - 1
AGU
35%
25%
40%
|
45 | 43 | 2 | +1 |
| 20 Dec. 2020 |
AGU
0 - 0
AQU
53%
22%
25%
|
46 | 43 | 3 | -1 |
Matches
Vitória
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Mar. 2021 |
CEA
3 - 1
VIT
67%
20%
13%
|
66 | 79 | 13 | 0 |
| 27 Feb. 2021 |
VIT
2 - 0
SAN
58%
22%
20%
|
65 | 61 | 4 | +1 |
| 24 Feb. 2021 |
ALA
1 - 2
VIT
9%
17%
74%
|
65 | 45 | 20 | 0 |
| 17 Feb. 2021 |
UNI
3 - 3
VIT
5%
11%
84%
|
65 | 28 | 37 | 0 |
| 30 Jan. 2021 |
BRA
0 - 1
VIT
32%
28%
40%
|
64 | 62 | 2 | +1 |