Águia Negra vs Ferroviária analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
18.3%
Win probability
0.74
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.1%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.2%
3-0
0.7%
4-1
0.2%
5-2
<0%
+3
0.9%
2-0
2.9%
3-1
1.1%
4-2
0.1%
5-3
<0%
+2
4.1%
1-0
7.9%
2-1
4.3%
3-2
0.8%
4-3
0.1%
+1
13.1%
26.1%
Draw
0-0
10.7%
1-1
11.8%
2-2
3.3%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
26.1%
55.6%
Win probability
1.5
Expected goals
0-1
16%
1-2
8.9%
2-3
1.6%
3-4
0.2%
-1
26.7%
0-2
12%
1-3
4.4%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0%
-2
17.1%
0-3
6%
1-4
1.7%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
7.9%
0-4
2.3%
1-5
0.5%
2-6
0%
-4
2.8%
0-5
0.7%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.8%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Águia Negra
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Aug. 2021 |
AGU
0 - 6
CAL
35%
26%
39%
|
40 | 47 | 7 | 0 |
| 24 Jul. 2021 |
UBE
2 - 0
AGU
65%
20%
15%
|
41 | 50 | 9 | -1 |
| 19 Jul. 2021 |
AGU
1 - 1
UBE
23%
24%
53%
|
40 | 50 | 10 | +1 |
| 10 Jul. 2021 |
CAL
6 - 2
AGU
46%
26%
28%
|
42 | 47 | 5 | -2 |
| 03 Jul. 2021 |
FER
7 - 0
AGU
66%
21%
13%
|
42 | 59 | 17 | 0 |
Matches
Ferroviária
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Aug. 2021 |
PAT
0 - 2
FER
17%
27%
56%
|
59 | 42 | 17 | 0 |
| 25 Jul. 2021 |
FER
2 - 0
BOA
58%
25%
17%
|
59 | 52 | 7 | 0 |
| 17 Jul. 2021 |
BOA
0 - 0
FER
31%
29%
40%
|
59 | 52 | 7 | 0 |
| 10 Jul. 2021 |
FER
1 - 0
PAT
70%
20%
10%
|
59 | 43 | 16 | 0 |
| 03 Jul. 2021 |
FER
7 - 0
AGU
66%
21%
13%
|
59 | 42 | 17 | 0 |