Águia Negra vs Dourados AC analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
27.6%
Win probability
1.39
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
7-1
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.6%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
0.1%
+4
0.9%
3-0
1.6%
4-1
1.1%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
3%
2-0
3.5%
3-1
3.1%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
7.8%
1-0
5%
2-1
6.7%
3-2
3%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
15.5%
22.1%
Draw
0-0
3.6%
1-1
9.7%
2-2
6.5%
3-3
1.9%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
22.1%
50.3%
Win probability
1.94
Expected goals
0-1
7%
1-2
9.4%
2-3
4.2%
3-4
0.9%
4-5
0.1%
5-6
0%
-1
21.6%
0-2
6.7%
1-3
6%
2-4
2%
3-5
0.4%
4-6
0%
-2
15.2%
0-3
4.4%
1-4
2.9%
2-5
0.8%
3-6
0.1%
4-7
0%
-3
8.2%
0-4
2.1%
1-5
1.1%
2-6
0.3%
3-7
0%
-4
3.5%
0-5
0.8%
1-6
0.4%
2-7
0.1%
-5
1.3%
0-6
0.3%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.4%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+26%
+14%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Águia Negra
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Oct. 2021 |
AGU
1 - 3
NME
21%
21%
58%
|
36 | 49 | 13 | 0 |
| 05 Sep. 2021 |
AGU
0 - 0
BOA
20%
25%
55%
|
35 | 53 | 18 | +1 |
| 29 Aug. 2021 |
PAT
1 - 0
AGU
43%
26%
31%
|
36 | 40 | 4 | -1 |
| 23 Aug. 2021 |
AGU
2 - 6
RIO
35%
25%
40%
|
38 | 44 | 6 | -2 |
| 15 Aug. 2021 |
RVV
2 - 2
AGU
76%
16%
9%
|
37 | 54 | 17 | +1 |
Matches
Dourados AC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Feb. 2022 |
AOU
1 - 1
COX
51%
22%
27%
|
43 | 38 | 5 | 0 |
| 23 May. 2021 |
OPE
2 - 4
AOU
46%
23%
31%
|
42 | 44 | 2 | +1 |
| 20 May. 2021 |
AOU
2 - 1
ABC
64%
19%
18%
|
42 | 28 | 14 | 0 |
| 17 May. 2021 |
AQU
0 - 0
AOU
34%
24%
42%
|
42 | 41 | 1 | 0 |
| 13 May. 2021 |
AOU
0 - 0
COS
31%
23%
47%
|
41 | 46 | 5 | +1 |