Águia Negra vs Caldense analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
34.8%
Win probability
1.26
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.3%
4-0
0.8%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.1%
3-0
2.5%
4-1
1%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
3.7%
2-0
5.8%
3-1
3.3%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
0.1%
+2
9.9%
1-0
9.3%
2-1
7.9%
3-2
2.2%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
19.7%
26.3%
Draw
0-0
7.3%
1-1
12.5%
2-2
5.3%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.3%
38.9%
Win probability
1.35
Expected goals
0-1
9.9%
1-2
8.4%
2-3
2.4%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
21.1%
0-2
6.7%
1-3
3.8%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
-2
11.4%
0-3
3%
1-4
1.3%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
4.5%
0-4
1%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0%
-4
1.4%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.4%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Águia Negra
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Jul. 2021 |
UBE
2 - 0
AGU
65%
20%
15%
|
41 | 50 | 9 | 0 |
| 19 Jul. 2021 |
AGU
1 - 1
UBE
23%
24%
53%
|
40 | 50 | 10 | +1 |
| 10 Jul. 2021 |
CAL
6 - 2
AGU
46%
26%
28%
|
42 | 47 | 5 | -2 |
| 03 Jul. 2021 |
FER
7 - 0
AGU
66%
21%
13%
|
42 | 59 | 17 | 0 |
| 30 Jun. 2021 |
AGU
4 - 1
PAT
38%
26%
37%
|
40 | 45 | 5 | +2 |
Matches
Caldense
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Jul. 2021 |
CAL
0 - 0
RVV
26%
28%
46%
|
46 | 53 | 7 | 0 |
| 18 Jul. 2021 |
RVV
3 - 0
CAL
55%
25%
20%
|
48 | 52 | 4 | -2 |
| 10 Jul. 2021 |
CAL
6 - 2
AGU
46%
26%
28%
|
47 | 42 | 5 | +1 |
| 05 Jul. 2021 |
PAT
2 - 3
CAL
36%
28%
36%
|
46 | 43 | 3 | +1 |
| 26 Jun. 2021 |
CAL
3 - 1
UBE
24%
26%
50%
|
45 | 51 | 6 | +1 |