Aguia de Maraba vs Tuna Luso analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
7.8%
Win probability
0.75
Expected goals
4-0
<0%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.1%
3-0
0.2%
4-1
0.1%
5-2
<0%
+3
0.4%
2-0
0.9%
3-1
0.6%
4-2
0.2%
5-3
<0%
+2
1.7%
1-0
2.4%
2-1
2.4%
3-2
0.8%
4-3
0.1%
5-4
<0%
+1
5.7%
13.6%
Draw
0-0
3.1%
1-1
6.4%
2-2
3.2%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
13.6%
78.6%
Win probability
2.71
Expected goals
0-1
8.5%
1-2
8.7%
2-3
2.9%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
20.6%
0-2
11.5%
1-3
7.8%
2-4
2%
3-5
0.3%
4-6
0%
-2
21.6%
0-3
10.4%
1-4
5.3%
2-5
1.1%
3-6
0.1%
-3
16.9%
0-4
7.1%
1-5
2.9%
2-6
0.5%
3-7
0%
-4
10.5%
0-5
3.8%
1-6
1.3%
2-7
0.2%
3-8
0%
-5
5.3%
0-6
1.7%
1-7
0.5%
2-8
0.1%
-6
2.3%
0-7
0.7%
1-8
0.2%
2-9
0%
-7
0.9%
0-8
0.2%
1-9
0.1%
-8
0.3%
0-9
0.1%
1-10
0%
-9
0.1%
0-10
0%
-10
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+17%
-25%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Aguia de Maraba
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Aug. 2020 |
AGU
0 - 2
BPA
35%
24%
41%
|
38 | 41 | 3 | 0 |
| 02 Aug. 2020 |
REM
4 - 2
AGU
73%
19%
9%
|
39 | 55 | 16 | -1 |
| 14 Mar. 2020 |
AGU
1 - 0
PAR
34%
25%
41%
|
38 | 42 | 4 | +1 |
| 07 Mar. 2020 |
AGU
1 - 0
SCI
73%
16%
11%
|
38 | 18 | 20 | 0 |
| 01 Mar. 2020 |
CAS
2 - 2
AGU
52%
24%
24%
|
37 | 41 | 4 | +1 |
Matches
Tuna Luso
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Apr. 2013 |
PAR
2 - 1
TUN
63%
21%
17%
|
38 | 45 | 7 | 0 |
| 21 Apr. 2013 |
TUN
0 - 0
PAR
34%
25%
42%
|
37 | 45 | 8 | +1 |
| 29 Mar. 2013 |
PAR
3 - 2
TUN
62%
21%
17%
|
38 | 45 | 7 | -1 |
| 23 Mar. 2013 |
TUN
2 - 2
PAY
14%
20%
66%
|
37 | 59 | 22 | +1 |
| 20 Mar. 2013 |
TUN
1 - 0
FRA
41%
24%
35%
|
36 | 40 | 4 | +1 |