Copa do Brasil . 1/16
Global 1-5
Aguia de Maraba vs São Paulo analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
5.2%
Win probability
0.31
Expected goals
3-0
0.1%
+3
0.1%
2-0
0.5%
3-1
0.1%
+2
0.6%
1-0
3.4%
2-1
1%
3-2
0.1%
+1
4.5%
18.3%
Draw
0-0
10.8%
1-1
6.5%
2-2
1%
3-3
0.1%
0
18.3%
76.5%
Win probability
1.91
Expected goals
0-1
20.7%
1-2
6.2%
2-3
0.6%
3-4
0%
-1
27.5%
0-2
19.8%
1-3
3.9%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
24%
0-3
12.6%
1-4
1.9%
2-5
0.1%
-3
14.6%
0-4
6%
1-5
0.7%
2-6
0%
-4
6.8%
0-5
2.3%
1-6
0.2%
-5
2.5%
0-6
0.7%
1-7
0.1%
-6
0.8%
0-7
0.2%
1-8
0%
-7
0.2%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
0-9
0%
-9
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Aguia de Maraba
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Apr. 2024 |
RIV
2 - 1
AGU
54%
25%
22%
|
45 | 48 | 3 | 0 |
| 30 Mar. 2024 |
PAY
4 - 0
AGU
77%
16%
7%
|
46 | 65 | 19 | -1 |
| 28 Mar. 2024 |
AGU
1 - 1
PAY
13%
21%
67%
|
45 | 66 | 21 | +1 |
| 17 Mar. 2024 |
SEC
0 - 2
AGU
23%
24%
54%
|
45 | 28 | 17 | 0 |
| 15 Mar. 2024 |
AGU
3 - 0
CAP
64%
21%
15%
|
45 | 27 | 18 | 0 |
Matches
São Paulo
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Apr. 2024 |
SAO
0 - 0
PAL
45%
26%
28%
|
88 | 88 | 0 | 0 |
| 26 Apr. 2024 |
BSC
0 - 2
SAO
24%
26%
50%
|
89 | 80 | 9 | -1 |
| 21 Apr. 2024 |
ATL
0 - 3
SAO
48%
25%
28%
|
88 | 87 | 1 | +1 |
| 18 Apr. 2024 |
FLA
2 - 1
SAO
47%
26%
27%
|
88 | 88 | 0 | 0 |
| 14 Apr. 2024 |
SAO
1 - 2
FOR
45%
26%
29%
|
88 | 88 | 0 | 0 |