Águia CD vs Ideal analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
10%
Win probability
0.67
Expected goals
4-0
<0%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.1%
3-0
0.3%
4-1
0.1%
5-2
<0%
+3
0.4%
2-0
1.3%
3-1
0.6%
4-2
0.1%
5-3
<0%
+2
2.1%
1-0
3.9%
2-1
2.8%
3-2
0.7%
4-3
0.1%
+1
7.5%
17.8%
Draw
0-0
5.7%
1-1
8.4%
2-2
3.1%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
17.8%
72.2%
Win probability
2.19
Expected goals
0-1
12.5%
1-2
9.2%
2-3
2.3%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
24.3%
0-2
13.7%
1-3
6.7%
2-4
1.2%
3-5
0.1%
-2
21.8%
0-3
10%
1-4
3.7%
2-5
0.5%
3-6
0%
-3
14.2%
0-4
5.5%
1-5
1.6%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
7.3%
0-5
2.4%
1-6
0.6%
2-7
0.1%
-5
3%
0-6
0.9%
1-7
0.2%
2-8
0%
-6
1.1%
0-7
0.3%
1-8
0.1%
-7
0.3%
0-8
0.1%
1-9
0%
-8
0.1%
0-9
0%
-9
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Águia CD
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Jan. 2012 |
FAY
3 - 2
AGU
80%
13%
7%
|
8 | 16 | 8 | 0 |
| 22 Jan. 2012 |
SAN
3 - 0
AGU
84%
11%
5%
|
9 | 34 | 25 | -1 |
| 15 Jan. 2012 |
AGU
0 - 3
PRA
10%
18%
72%
|
9 | 41 | 32 | 0 |
| 18 Dec. 2011 |
SCG
2 - 0
AGU
78%
14%
8%
|
10 | 19 | 9 | -1 |
| 10 Dec. 2011 |
AGU
1 - 2
PRA
14%
20%
66%
|
10 | 21 | 11 | 0 |
Matches
Ideal
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Jan. 2012 |
IDE
0 - 1
PRA
25%
24%
52%
|
28 | 41 | 13 | 0 |
| 22 Jan. 2012 |
SCG
2 - 0
IDE
20%
22%
57%
|
30 | 18 | 12 | -2 |
| 14 Jan. 2012 |
IDE
0 - 1
PRA
67%
19%
14%
|
31 | 22 | 9 | -1 |
| 18 Dec. 2011 |
BOA
0 - 0
IDE
27%
23%
49%
|
32 | 22 | 10 | -1 |
| 11 Dec. 2011 |
IDE
2 - 2
MIC
75%
16%
9%
|
32 | 19 | 13 | 0 |