Água Santa vs Santos B analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
47.4%
Win probability
1.71
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.6%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.9%
4-0
1.8%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.7%
3-0
4.2%
4-1
2.3%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
+3
7%
2-0
7.3%
3-1
5.3%
4-2
1.5%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
14.4%
1-0
8.6%
2-1
9.4%
3-2
3.4%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.1%
23.8%
Draw
0-0
5%
1-1
11%
2-2
6%
3-3
1.5%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
23.8%
28.8%
Win probability
1.28
Expected goals
0-1
6.5%
1-2
7.1%
2-3
2.6%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
16.6%
0-2
4.1%
1-3
3%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
8.1%
0-3
1.8%
1-4
1%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
3%
0-4
0.6%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.9%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Água Santa
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Sep. 2018 |
SAO
1 - 1
AGU
73%
19%
9%
|
48 | 65 | 17 | 0 |
| 31 Aug. 2018 |
AGU
0 - 2
SAN
29%
27%
45%
|
49 | 56 | 7 | -1 |
| 22 Aug. 2018 |
AGU
1 - 2
TAU
29%
25%
47%
|
49 | 54 | 5 | 0 |
| 18 Aug. 2018 |
SAO
2 - 0
AGU
56%
24%
20%
|
50 | 56 | 6 | -1 |
| 15 Aug. 2018 |
AGU
1 - 1
CAB
80%
14%
6%
|
50 | 11 | 39 | 0 |
Matches
Santos B
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Sep. 2018 |
SAN
2 - 2
CAB
82%
12%
6%
|
45 | 12 | 33 | 0 |
| 25 Aug. 2018 |
SAO
3 - 1
SAN
60%
22%
19%
|
45 | 57 | 12 | 0 |
| 23 Aug. 2018 |
SAN
0 - 0
SAN
19%
21%
60%
|
45 | 57 | 12 | 0 |
| 18 Aug. 2018 |
SAO
1 - 0
SAN
75%
17%
9%
|
45 | 64 | 19 | 0 |
| 15 Aug. 2018 |
SAN
0 - 3
TAU
20%
20%
60%
|
46 | 54 | 8 | -1 |