Paulista A2 Etapas Finales. Semi-finals
Global 4-2
Água Santa vs Rio Claro analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
54.4%
Win probability
1.57
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.7%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.9%
4-0
2.3%
5-1
0.6%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.9%
3-0
5.8%
4-1
1.9%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
8%
2-0
11%
3-1
4.9%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
16.8%
1-0
14%
2-1
9.3%
3-2
2.1%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.6%
25.3%
Draw
0-0
8.9%
1-1
11.9%
2-2
4%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
<0%
0
25.3%
20.2%
Win probability
0.85
Expected goals
0-1
7.5%
1-2
5%
2-3
1.1%
3-4
0.1%
-1
13.8%
0-2
3.2%
1-3
1.4%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
4.9%
0-3
0.9%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0%
-3
1.2%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+20%
+34%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Água Santa
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 May. 2021 |
RIO
0 - 2
AGU
38%
26%
36%
|
59 | 57 | 2 | 0 |
| 22 May. 2021 |
AGU
1 - 2
POR
48%
26%
26%
|
60 | 57 | 3 | -1 |
| 19 May. 2021 |
POR
0 - 2
AGU
41%
26%
32%
|
58 | 58 | 0 | +2 |
| 15 May. 2021 |
AGU
3 - 3
POR
58%
25%
18%
|
59 | 50 | 9 | -1 |
| 12 May. 2021 |
RBB
1 - 1
AGU
35%
26%
39%
|
59 | 56 | 3 | 0 |
Matches
Rio Claro
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 May. 2021 |
RIO
0 - 2
AGU
38%
26%
36%
|
57 | 59 | 2 | 0 |
| 21 May. 2021 |
RIO
0 - 0
RBB
46%
26%
28%
|
57 | 56 | 1 | 0 |
| 18 May. 2021 |
RBB
1 - 2
RIO
48%
27%
26%
|
56 | 56 | 0 | +1 |
| 15 May. 2021 |
OES
0 - 0
RIO
58%
24%
18%
|
56 | 61 | 5 | 0 |
| 12 May. 2021 |
RIO
2 - 0
MON
51%
25%
24%
|
56 | 52 | 4 | 0 |