Água Santa vs Portuguesa Santista analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
57.7%
Win probability
1.63
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.9%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.1%
4-0
2.6%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3.4%
3-0
6.5%
4-1
2.1%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
8.8%
2-0
12%
3-1
5%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
17.9%
1-0
14.7%
2-1
9.3%
3-2
2%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
26.2%
24.6%
Draw
0-0
9%
1-1
11.4%
2-2
3.6%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
24.6%
17.7%
Win probability
0.78
Expected goals
0-1
7%
1-2
4.4%
2-3
0.9%
3-4
0.1%
-1
12.5%
0-2
2.7%
1-3
1.1%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
4.1%
0-3
0.7%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
1%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+7%
+42%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Água Santa
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 May. 2021 |
RBB
1 - 1
AGU
35%
26%
39%
|
59 | 56 | 3 | 0 |
| 10 May. 2021 |
AGU
2 - 1
ATI
46%
26%
28%
|
58 | 55 | 3 | +1 |
| 07 May. 2021 |
AGU
1 - 1
OES
33%
26%
41%
|
58 | 60 | 2 | 0 |
| 04 May. 2021 |
MON
1 - 2
AGU
29%
26%
45%
|
58 | 51 | 7 | 0 |
| 01 May. 2021 |
SAO
1 - 1
AGU
39%
26%
34%
|
58 | 57 | 1 | 0 |
Matches
Portuguesa Santista
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 May. 2021 |
POR
0 - 1
SAO
30%
27%
43%
|
50 | 57 | 7 | 0 |
| 10 May. 2021 |
OES
2 - 0
POR
64%
21%
15%
|
51 | 60 | 9 | -1 |
| 07 May. 2021 |
POR
0 - 0
MON
43%
26%
31%
|
51 | 51 | 0 | 0 |
| 04 May. 2021 |
RBB
1 - 0
POR
50%
25%
25%
|
52 | 55 | 3 | -1 |
| 01 May. 2021 |
POR
1 - 1
VEL
37%
26%
37%
|
52 | 53 | 1 | 0 |