Água Santa vs Ituano analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
32.1%
Win probability
1.15
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.6%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.8%
3-0
2.1%
4-1
0.8%
5-2
0.1%
6-3
<0%
+3
3.1%
2-0
5.5%
3-1
2.8%
4-2
0.5%
5-3
0.1%
+2
8.9%
1-0
9.6%
2-1
7.4%
3-2
1.9%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
19.1%
26.9%
Draw
0-0
8.3%
1-1
12.8%
2-2
4.9%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.9%
41%
Win probability
1.34
Expected goals
0-1
11.1%
1-2
8.6%
2-3
2.2%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
22.2%
0-2
7.4%
1-3
3.8%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
12.1%
0-3
3.3%
1-4
1.3%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
4.8%
0-4
1.1%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0%
-4
1.5%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.4%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+9%
-19%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Água Santa
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Feb. 2022 |
AGU
1 - 0
NOV
32%
25%
43%
|
58 | 62 | 4 | 0 |
| 01 Feb. 2022 |
PAL
1 - 0
AGU
88%
9%
3%
|
59 | 90 | 31 | -1 |
| 29 Jan. 2022 |
FER
1 - 0
AGU
43%
26%
31%
|
59 | 59 | 0 | 0 |
| 26 Jan. 2022 |
AGU
0 - 1
SAO
50%
26%
25%
|
60 | 58 | 2 | -1 |
| 31 May. 2021 |
AGU
2 - 2
SAO
47%
26%
27%
|
60 | 59 | 1 | 0 |
Matches
Ituano
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Feb. 2022 |
ITU
2 - 3
COR
29%
30%
41%
|
66 | 84 | 18 | 0 |
| 03 Feb. 2022 |
ITU
2 - 1
INT
75%
16%
10%
|
65 | 54 | 11 | +1 |
| 30 Jan. 2022 |
SAO
0 - 0
ITU
77%
16%
7%
|
65 | 85 | 20 | 0 |
| 26 Jan. 2022 |
ITU
2 - 0
NOV
48%
23%
29%
|
64 | 64 | 0 | +1 |
| 20 Nov. 2021 |
ITU
3 - 0
TOM
53%
26%
22%
|
63 | 64 | 1 | +1 |