Água Santa vs América SP analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
59.5%
Win probability
2.07
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.5%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.6%
5-0
1.3%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.9%
4-0
3.2%
5-1
1.5%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
5%
3-0
6.2%
4-1
3.5%
5-2
0.8%
6-3
0.1%
+3
10.6%
2-0
8.9%
3-1
6.8%
4-2
2%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
18%
1-0
8.6%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3.8%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.1%
20.8%
Draw
0-0
4.2%
1-1
9.5%
2-2
5.5%
3-3
1.4%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
20.8%
19.7%
Win probability
1.11
Expected goals
0-1
4.6%
1-2
5.3%
2-3
2%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
12.4%
0-2
2.6%
1-3
2%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
5.2%
0-3
0.9%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.6%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+42%
+172%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Água Santa
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Feb. 2014 |
IND
0 - 0
AGU
51%
24%
25%
|
48 | 53 | 5 | 0 |
| 16 Feb. 2014 |
SJS
0 - 2
AGU
34%
25%
41%
|
47 | 41 | 6 | +1 |
| 12 Feb. 2014 |
AGU
0 - 0
SER
54%
22%
24%
|
47 | 46 | 1 | 0 |
| 09 Feb. 2014 |
TUP
4 - 3
AGU
28%
24%
48%
|
48 | 36 | 12 | -1 |
| 05 Feb. 2014 |
INT
1 - 0
AGU
49%
25%
26%
|
49 | 53 | 4 | -1 |
Matches
América SP
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Feb. 2014 |
AME
1 - 0
NOR
46%
26%
29%
|
43 | 46 | 3 | 0 |
| 16 Feb. 2014 |
RIO
3 - 2
AME
56%
24%
21%
|
43 | 49 | 6 | 0 |
| 12 Feb. 2014 |
AME
1 - 1
TAU
38%
26%
36%
|
43 | 49 | 6 | 0 |
| 09 Feb. 2014 |
VOT
1 - 3
AME
62%
21%
17%
|
41 | 50 | 9 | +2 |
| 05 Feb. 2014 |
SJS
4 - 0
AME
33%
25%
42%
|
43 | 36 | 7 | -2 |