Agricola Borcea vs Oltenita analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
31.7%
Win probability
2.01
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
8-1
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
0.7%
4-0
0.7%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
0.1%
8-4
<0%
+4
1.9%
3-0
1.5%
4-1
1.9%
5-2
0.9%
6-3
0.3%
7-4
<0%
+3
4.6%
2-0
2.2%
3-1
3.7%
4-2
2.3%
5-3
0.8%
6-4
0.2%
7-5
<0%
+2
9.3%
1-0
2.2%
2-1
5.5%
3-2
4.7%
4-3
2%
5-4
0.5%
6-5
0.1%
+1
14.9%
18.9%
Draw
0-0
1.1%
1-1
5.5%
2-2
6.9%
3-3
3.9%
4-4
1.2%
5-5
0.2%
6-6
<0%
0
18.9%
49.4%
Win probability
2.5
Expected goals
0-1
2.7%
1-2
6.9%
2-3
5.8%
3-4
2.4%
4-5
0.6%
5-6
0.1%
6-7
0%
-1
18.6%
0-2
3.4%
1-3
5.7%
2-4
3.6%
3-5
1.2%
4-6
0.3%
5-7
0%
-2
14.3%
0-3
2.9%
1-4
3.6%
2-5
1.8%
3-6
0.5%
4-7
0.1%
5-8
0%
-3
8.9%
0-4
1.8%
1-5
1.8%
2-6
0.8%
3-7
0.2%
4-8
0%
-4
4.6%
0-5
0.9%
1-6
0.8%
2-7
0.3%
3-8
0.1%
-5
2%
0-6
0.4%
1-7
0.3%
2-8
0.1%
3-9
0%
-6
0.7%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0.1%
2-9
0%
-7
0.2%
0-8
0%
1-9
0%
-8
0.1%
0-9
0%
-9
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+88%
-53%
Points and table prediction
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| PK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
75 | 80 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
64 | 70 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
60 | 64 |
4º
|
4% | |
|
4º
|
60 | 65 |
3º
|
0% | |
|
5º
|
48 | 52 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
6º
|
43 | 48 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
7º
|
36 | 40 |
7º
|
78% | |
|
8º
|
35 | 39 |
8º
|
39% | |
|
9º
|
33 | 37 |
9º
|
23% | |
|
10º
|
32 | 36 |
10º
|
20% | |
|
11º
|
30 | 35 |
12º
|
15% | |
|
|
12º
|
30 | 35 |
11º
|
9% | |
|
13º
|
28 | 32 |
13º
|
99% | |
|
|
14º
|
24 | 27 |
14º
|
99% | |
|
15º
|
0 | 18 |
15º
|
1% | |
|
16º
|
0 | 2 |
16º
|
97% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
| Champion | 0% | 0% |
| Mid-table | 91% | 0% |
| Relegation playoffs | 9% | 0% |
| Relegation | 0% | 100% |
ELO progression
OLT
BOR
RAP
DDT
SBU
TUN
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Agricola Borcea
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO BOR | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Oct. 2018 |
AFU
4 - 0
BOR
53%
25%
22%
|
310 | 676 | 366 | -2 |
| 29 Sep. 2018 |
CSM
1 - 3
BOR
45%
27%
28%
|
308 | 313 | 5 | +2 |
| 22 Sep. 2018 |
BOR
1 - 0
CSF
45%
27%
28%
|
306 | 314 | -8 | +2 |
| 15 Sep. 2018 |
SCR
1 - 3
BOR
41%
28%
31%
|
274 | 198 | -76 | +2 |
| 08 Sep. 2018 |
BOR
5 - 3
SBU
45%
27%
28%
|
271 | 375 | -104 | +2 |
Matches
Oltenita
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO OLT | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Oct. 2018 |
OLT
0 - 1
GLO
45%
27%
28%
|
300 | 289 | 11 | -2 |
| 06 Oct. 2018 |
AFU
4 - 0
OLT
53%
25%
22%
|
305 | 674 | 369 | -2 |
| 29 Sep. 2018 |
OLT
1 - 2
PSB
46%
27%
28%
|
306 | 362 | -56 | -2 |
| 18 Sep. 2018 |
CSM
2 - 0
OLT
47%
27%
26%
|
275 | 312 | 37 | 0 |
| 15 Sep. 2018 |
OLT
1 - 1
AXI
46%
27%
28%
|
275 | 320 | -45 | 0 |