ASA Arapiraquense vs Vasco da Gama analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
19.1%
Win probability
0.86
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.2%
5-1
0.1%
+4
0.2%
3-0
0.8%
4-1
0.3%
5-2
<0%
+3
1.2%
2-0
2.9%
3-1
1.4%
4-2
0.2%
5-3
<0%
+2
4.6%
1-0
6.9%
2-1
4.9%
3-2
1.2%
4-3
0.1%
+1
13.1%
24.3%
Draw
0-0
8%
1-1
11.4%
2-2
4.1%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
24.3%
56.6%
Win probability
1.67
Expected goals
0-1
13.4%
1-2
9.5%
2-3
2.3%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
25.5%
0-2
11.2%
1-3
5.3%
2-4
0.9%
3-5
0.1%
-2
17.5%
0-3
6.2%
1-4
2.2%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
8.7%
0-4
2.6%
1-5
0.7%
2-6
0.1%
-4
3.4%
0-5
0.9%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
1.1%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0%
-6
0.3%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+16%
+17%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
ASA Arapiraquense
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Nov. 1979 |
CEA
5 - 0
ASA
66%
21%
13%
|
60 | 78 | 18 | 0 |
| 21 Nov. 1979 |
ASA
2 - 2
OPE
42%
27%
31%
|
60 | 70 | 10 | 0 |
| 18 Nov. 1979 |
ASA
2 - 1
CEN
57%
23%
19%
|
60 | 57 | 3 | 0 |
| 15 Nov. 1979 |
BOT
3 - 1
ASA
66%
21%
14%
|
60 | 70 | 10 | 0 |
| 11 Nov. 1979 |
ASA
2 - 2
AMF
35%
29%
36%
|
60 | 78 | 18 | 0 |
Matches
Vasco da Gama
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Nov. 1979 |
VAS
0 - 0
GOI
63%
23%
15%
|
90 | 86 | 4 | 0 |
| 21 Nov. 1979 |
AMF
0 - 0
VAS
23%
30%
48%
|
90 | 78 | 12 | 0 |
| 18 Nov. 1979 |
VAS
4 - 0
BOT
77%
14%
9%
|
90 | 71 | 19 | 0 |
| 15 Nov. 1979 |
CEN
0 - 1
VAS
17%
23%
60%
|
90 | 58 | 32 | 0 |
| 10 Nov. 1979 |
VAS
3 - 0
CEA
70%
19%
11%
|
90 | 79 | 11 | 0 |